Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/31/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, August 31, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+126) New York (-152)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (72-62) will try to beat the Miami Marlins (63-71) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Miami at +126 and New York is priced at -152. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Sandy Alcantara and Kodai Senga.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are recording 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 19th in baseball. They have tallied 574 runs while holding a team OBP of .313. The Marlins have tallied 218 two-baggers as a team and have hit 128 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 547 runs batted in as well as 1,140 hits this season, and their team batting average comes in at .249. Miami is slugging .392 and have been called out on strikes 1,046 times, while taking a walk on 401 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.52 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30. Marlins pitchers have conceded 150 long balls and also 654 total runs (25th in the league). Miami has surrendered 1,127 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 605 earned runs. The Marlins are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.57 for the year (25th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,057 batters. They have walked 420 opposing players and their FIP is 4.20 as a team over the course of the season.

Marlins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 104 times as well as having 145 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 72 holds for the year (18th in MLB). The Marlins relievers have recorded a save percentage of 63.5% and have come into the game in 125 save situations. They have earned 33 saves this year and have blown 19 out of their 52 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 152 runners on the campaign and 32.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Marlins have sent 414 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Marlins have turned 70.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,632 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 14th in professional baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers have accumulated 3,544 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,139 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which ranks 17th in professional baseball, and they have turned 91 double plays.

Alcantara has pitched in 1,041 frames and has racked up 902 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.67 (424 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.183. He has given up 908 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 324 free passes. Alcantara (48-66 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.61 while he has faced 4,292 batters in the major leagues.

The New York Mets have accumulated an on-base percentage of .327 in addition to a team batting average of .248 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,075 occasions (20th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,117 base hits. New York has knocked in 178 HRs so far this year as well as 607 RBIs. The Mets hold a team SLG% of .423 and they score 4.64 runs per game (10th in baseball). They have 219 doubles, while taking a walk 469 times and scoring 622 runs.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 561 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.78 (499 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 119 home runs and they surrender 4.25 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.307 in addition to having a FIP of 3.85 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (1,146 strikeouts vs 472 bases on balls). They come in at 12th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,079.

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.6% out of 211 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 162 times in high leverage situations and also on 142 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 143 save situations, the Mets have earned 84 holds and 23 blown saves. They are ranked 21st in the league with a save percentage of 61.0%, and they have sent 437 relievers to the mound so far this year. New York has had relievers enter the contest in 59 save opportunities and they have come away with 36 saves.

Out of their 10,602 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (20th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 98 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 1,199 assists, 60 errors and have earned a total of 3,534 putouts for the season.

In his pro baseball career, Senga has surrendered 215 hits while he has tallied 314 strikeouts in 279 innings. Senga (20-12 career mark) has earned a 2.90 earned run average while allowing 6.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 90 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.238 and having a FIP of 2.9. His K/BB ratio is 2.40 and he has gone up against 1,174 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+126)

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