Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, September 23, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+110) Philadelphia (-132)

The Miami Marlins (76-80) are hitting the road to Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (92-64). The line on this matchup has Miami at +110 and Philadelphia is sitting at -132. The over/under has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Edward Cabrera and Cristopher Sanchez.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are recording 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 16th in MLB. They have accumulated 688 runs and hold an OBP of .316. The Marlins have accounted for 264 doubles as a squad and have knocked 151 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 657 RBI's as well as 1,337 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate sits at .252. Miami has a slugging rate of .396 and have struck out 1,194 times, while being walked on 468 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.54 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 186 home runs and 772 total runs (26th in MLB). Miami has given up 1,324 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 713 earned runs. The Marlins hold a team ERA of 4.65 on the campaign (25th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,221 hitters. They have walked 480 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.33 as a team on the season.

The Marlins have sent 487 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relievers have inherited 175 base runners on the campaign and 30.9% of them earned a run for their team. They have earned 38 saves for the year and have not converted 21 of their 59 chances to get a save. The Marlins bullpen have compiled a save rate of 64.4% and have entered the game in 144 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 83 holds over the course of the season (17th in the league). Marlins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 122 times in addition to having 163 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have amassed 4,141 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,327 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which has them sitting 17th in the majors, and have earned 101 double plays. The Marlins have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,423 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 15th in professional baseball.

Cabrera has taken the hill for 422 innings and has 468 punch outs during his career. Cabrera (24-29 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.03 and he has gone up against 1,806 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.09 (192 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.307. He has conceded 342 base knocks (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 210 free passes.

Philadelphia is sitting with 200 home runs this season to go along with 729 runs batted in. They have recorded 260 doubles, while getting a free base 511 times and scoring 754 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have tallied an on-base percentage of .330 as well as a batting average of .260 so far this year. The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .432 and they score 4.86 runs per game (7th in the league). They have struck out on 1,263 occasions (20th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,370 hits.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.242 in addition to having a FIP of 3.72 as a staff on the year. They are sitting at 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,287. The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 625 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.85 (588 earned runs conceded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.20 (1,401 strikeouts vs 421 free passes). They have given up 168 home runs and they relinquish 4.09 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB).

Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.7% of 147 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 170 times in high leverage situations and also on 100 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 153 save situations, the Phillies have earned 79 holds and also 26 blown saves. They sit at 17th in baseball with a save percentage of 63.4%, and they have sent 482 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 71 save chances and they have earned 45 saves.

Out of their 12,378 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.1% (21st in baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 99 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in the majors). The Phillies have recorded 1,322 assists, 57 errors and have a tally of 4,126 putouts for the season.

Sanchez (30-21 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.33 ERA and has surrendered 8.4 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.90 and he has gone up against 2,151 hitters so far in his career. He has allowed 193 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.181 and having a FIP of 3.3. During his MLB career, Sanchez has allowed 490 hits and he has 495 strikeouts in 522 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-132)

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