Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 6/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+220) Pittsburgh (-275)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (27-40) will take on the Miami Marlins (24-40) at PNC Park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Marlins at +220 and the Pirates open at -275. The total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Cal Quantrill and Bailey Falter.

The Marlins have recorded 109 doubles as a team and have smacked 55 balls out of the park. Miami has a slugging rate of .381 and have been called out on strikes 523 times, while taking a walk on 194 occasions. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.1 runs per game, which has them at 22nd in the league. They have tallied 249 runs batted in in addition to 541 hits this year, while their batting average comes in at .248. They have accounted for 259 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .312.

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The Marlins have an ERA of 5.12 over the course of the season (28th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 507 batters. Marlins pitchers have yielded 78 long balls and also 350 runs (28th in MLB). They have walked 230 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.41 as a squad over the course of the season. Miami has given up 583 hits (9.2 per 9 innings) and also 323 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.20 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.43.

The Marlins have sent 208 relievers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 83 base runners this season with 34.9% of those runners crossed home plate. They have tallied 11 saves on the year and have blown 12 of 23 chances to save the game. The Marlins relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 47.8% and have entered the game in 52 save situations. The relievers have recorded 29 holds on the season (27th in the league). Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 58 times in addition to having 71 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have accounted for 1,704 putouts for the season, in addition to 555 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which has them sitting 24th in professional baseball, and have 44 double plays. The Marlins have turned 68.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 5,112 innings, which has them sitting 23rd in professional baseball.

Quantrill has taken the hill for 773 innings and has totaled 577 punch outs during his career. Quantrill (46-40 career record) holds a FIP of 4.12 while facing 3,297 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.18 (359 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.327. He has allowed 775 base hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 251 walks.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .307 and a batting average of .230 this year. They have struck out on 587 instances (6th in baseball) and have totaled 509 base hits. Pittsburgh is sitting with 46 home runs on the year and 209 RBIs. The Pirates hold a team SLG% of .342 and they score 3.25 runs per game (29th in baseball). They have tallied 84 doubles, while taking a walk 228 times and putting up 218 runs.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 272 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.83 (253 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 54 long balls and they relinquish 4.11 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Pirates are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.210 with a FIP of 3.73 as a unit on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.50 (497 strikeouts against 204 free passes). They sit at 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 516.

With 63 save situations, the Pirates have earned 35 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. Pittsburgh has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 26 save chances and they have tallied 14 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 73 times in high leverage situations and on 65 occasions with runners on. Pittsburgh relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.9% out of 103 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 25th in the league with a save percentage of 53.8%, and they have dispatched 215 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the season.

Out of their 5,355 innings played, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (7th in professional baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 59 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in the majors). The Pirates have racked up 597 assists, 37 errors and have 1,785 putouts during this campaign.

So far in his pro baseball career, Falter has given up 405 base knocks and he has 308 strikeouts in 409 frames. He has surrendered 202 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.263 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and he has gone up against 1,700 batters in his career. Falter (22-26 career win-loss mark) has a 4.44 ERA while allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+220)

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