Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 9/21/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers

Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+162) Texas (-196)

The Texas Rangers (79-74) are hosting the Miami Marlins (73-80) at Globe Life Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has Miami at +162 and Texas is coming in at -196. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Adam Mazur and Patrick Corbin.

The Marlins have compiled 258 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 148 balls out of the stadium. Miami has a slugging % of .395 and have struck out 1,177 times, while being walked on 462 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are recording 4.4 runs per contest, which has them at 15th in the league. They have accumulated 647 runs batted in and 1,313 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average comes in at .251. They have a total of 678 runs while holding a team OBP of .316.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31. Marlins pitchers have relinquished 184 home runs and also 765 runs in total (26th in the league). Miami has surrendered 1,312 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 708 earned runs. The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 4.69 over the course of the season (26th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,207 hitters. They have walked 475 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.33 as a team for the season.

The Marlins have sent 479 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers have inherited 174 runners so far this season with 31.0% of them crossed home plate. They have earned 37 saves this year and have missed out on 20 out of their 57 save opportunities. The Marlins relievers have a save percentage of 64.9% and stepped onto the hill in 140 save situations. The relievers have a total of 81 holds for the year (17th in baseball). Marlins relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 119 times in addition to having 158 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Marlins have converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs out of 12,153 innings, which ranks them 16th in baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers have accounted for 4,051 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,297 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which puts them in 17th in baseball, and have accumulated 98 double plays.

Mazur has thrown 59 frames and has totaled 39 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 6.39 (42 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.672. He has allowed 68 base hits (10.3 hits per nine innings) and has 31 free passes. Mazur (1-7 career mark) has earned a FIP of 6.29 while going up against 279 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Texas Rangers have recorded an on-base percentage of .307 as well as a batting average of .238 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,242 occasions (21st in MLB) and have totaled 1,221 hits. Texas has compiled 167 long balls for the season as well as 629 RBIs. The Rangers hold a team slugging % of .387 and they earn 4.27 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have 235 two-baggers, while getting a free base 470 times and putting up 653 runs.

The Rangers hold a team WHIP of 1.172 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.91 as a team this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (1,263 strikeouts vs 439 walks). They are currently ranked 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,154. They have yielded 162 long balls and they allow 3.75 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). The Texas pitching staff have given up 566 runs for the year while having an ERA of 3.45 (521 earned runs given up).

Texas bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.4% out of 237 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 167 times in high leverage situations in addition to 168 occasions with runners on. With 145 save situations, the Rangers have earned 77 holds and 27 blown saves. They sit at 25th in the league holding a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 486 relievers to the hill so far this year. Texas has had relief pitchers take the mound in 63 save opportunities and they have walked away with 36 saves.

The Texas Rangers have turned 118 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .991 (1st in pro baseball). The Rangers have racked up 1,294 assists, 51 errors and have a tally of 4,078 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 12,234 innings on the diamond, the Rangers have earned a defensive efficiency of 72.2% (1st in pro baseball).

Corbin (110-140 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 4.49 ERA while giving up 9.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.96 and he has gone up against 8,766 hitters thus far in his career. He has surrendered 1,018 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.370 and a FIP of 4.4. During his career, Corbin has surrendered 2,167 base knocks while totaling 1,853 strikeouts in 2,038 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas (-196)

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