Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 5/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025

Location: Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Chicago Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-144) Chicago (+120)

Rate Field is the site where the Chicago White Sox (7-22) will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (15-15) on Thursday. The line on this matchup has the Brewers at -144 while the White Sox are sitting at +120. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Chad Patrick and Sean Burke.

Milwaukee has a slugging % of .375 and have struck out 236 times, while taking a walk on 106 occasions. They have earned 136 runs batted in as well as 252 hits on the season, and their batting average comes in at .249. The Brewers have hit 39 doubles as a squad and have knocked 27 baseballs out of the park. They have 153 runs scored and have an OBP of .327. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.1 runs per contest, which ranks them 7th in the league.

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The Brewers have a team earned run average of 4.09 this year (16th in the league), and their staff has rung up 239 hitters. Brewers pitchers have given up 36 home runs in addition to 131 total runs (17th in the league). They have walked 117 opposing players and their FIP is 4.51 as a squad on the campaign. Milwaukee has allowed 232 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 119 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.04 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.33.

The Brewers relievers have earned a save rate of 57.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 26 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 37 runners over the course of the season and 48.6% of those runners crossed home plate. Brewers pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 24 times in addition to having 23 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have sent 104 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 18 holds for the year (15th in the league). They have compiled 4 saves this year and have not converted 3 out of their 7 save opportunities.

The Brewers have converted 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,358 innings on the field, which ranks them 10th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have a total of 786 putouts on the year, as well as 224 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which ranks 22nd in professional baseball, and have a total of 22 double plays.

Patrick has pitched in 25 innings and is sitting with 22 punch outs so far in his career. His earned run average is 2.50 (7 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.349. He has surrendered 23 base knocks (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 11 walks. Patrick (1-2 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 2.46 and he has faced 105 opposing hitters in the majors.

The White Sox have a SLG% of .326 and they average 3.34 runs per outing (27th in baseball). They have 37 doubles, while walking 97 times as well as putting up 97 runs. Chicago has knocked in 24 home runs this year to go along with 94 runs batted in. They have struck out on 247 occasions (12th in the league) and have tallied 196 hits. The Chicago White Sox have compiled an on-base percentage of .285 as well as a batting average of .208 this year.

The White Sox have a WHIP of 1.378 in addition to having a FIP of 4.83 as a squad this season. They are currently ranked 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 225. The Chicago pitching staff have relinquished 127 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.19 (116 earned runs yielded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.00 (220 strikeouts against 118 free passes). They have given up 35 dingers and they concede 4.59 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league).

With 13 save situations, the White Sox have compiled 9 holds and 3 blown saves. Chicago has had relief pitchers enter the game in 4 save opportunities and they have converted 1 save. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 25 times in high leverage situations in addition to 27 occasions with runners on. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.2% out of their 38 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 30th in the league holding a save percentage of 25.0%, and they have dispatched 96 relievers to the mound for the year.

The Chicago White Sox have gotten 26 double plays and have a fielding rate of .980 (26th in MLB). The White Sox have accrued 237 assists, 20 errors and are sitting with 747 putouts on the season. In 2,241 innings on the diamond, the White Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (12th in the majors).

Thus far in his career, Burke has allowed 41 base hits while tallying 42 punch outs in 46 innings. He has conceded 21 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.283 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.33 and he has gone up against 201 opposing batters during his pro baseball career. Burke (3-4 career record) has earned a 4.11 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-144)

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