Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 5/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, May 12, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+162) Cleveland (-196)

The Milwaukee Brewers (19-19) are headed to Progressive Field on Monday where they will go up against the Cleveland Guardians (22-15). The odds on this game have Milwaukee at +162 while Cleveland is coming in at -196. The total is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Chad Patrick and Ben Lively.

As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, which ranks them 12th in MLB. They have earned 175 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .315. The Brewers have tallied 51 doubles as a team and have smacked 31 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 156 runs batted in as well as 297 base knocks on the season, while their batting average is sitting at .237. Milwaukee has a slugging % of .358 and have been called out on strikes 303 times, while being walked on 131 occasions.

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The Brewers have an ERA of 4.27 so far this season (20th in baseball), and they have struck out 300 hitters. Brewers pitchers have given up 45 home runs and 172 total runs (22nd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 145 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.48 as a team on the campaign. Milwaukee has allowed 298 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 158 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.07 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.33.

Brewers relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 33 times as well as having 33 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 24 holds on the year (13th in the league). The Brewers relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 60.0% and have entered the game in 35 save situations. They have recorded 6 saves so far this season and have missed out on 4 of their 10 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 54 base runners for the season and 42.6% of them ended up scoring. The Brewers have dispatched 134 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Miami Marlins have earned a total of 999 putouts thus far, in addition to 289 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which is 24th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 28 double plays. The Brewers have turned 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,997 innings, which ranks them 11th in MLB.

Patrick (2-3 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.03 and he has faced 154 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 33 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 12 walks. His earned run average is 3.08 (13 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.184. Patrick has taken the mound for 38 frames and has tallied 32 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

The Cleveland Guardians have recorded a team OBP of .311 in addition to a batting average of .238 on the year. They have been rung up on 290 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have recorded 288 base hits. Cleveland has accumulated 42 long balls for the year to go along with 146 runs batted in. The Guardians have a team slugging percentage of .386 and they are recording 4.24 runs per game (17th in baseball). They have put up 50 two-baggers, while taking a walk 122 times and racking up 157 runs.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.433 and have a FIP of 4.31 as a team this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.40 (304 strikeouts vs 141 bases on balls). They come in at 23rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 326. They have given up 42 long balls and they concede 4.72 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). The Cleveland pitching staff have given up 171 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.31 (156 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 53 save situations, the Guardians have accumulated 35 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. Cleveland has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 18 save opportunities and they have walked away with 13 saves. Their relievers have come in 41 times in high leverage situations in addition to 34 occasions with base runners. Cleveland bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 28.6% out of 49 inherited base runners. They are ranked 6th in MLB with a save percentage of 72.2%, and they have dispatched 131 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year.

The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 30 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .979 (28th in pro baseball). The Guardians have racked up 278 assists, 27 errors and have amassed 978 putouts for the year. In 2,934 innings on the diamond, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 67.3% (28th in baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Lively has conceded 406 base hits while tallying 305 punch outs in 400 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 197 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.329 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.42 and he has faced 1,704 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Lively (23-29 career mark) has a 4.43 ERA and has conceded 9.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+162)

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