Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, July 4, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-152) Miami (+126)

The Miami Marlins (38-45) will try to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers (47-37) at loanDepot park on Friday. The line on this contest has Milwaukee at -152 and Miami is sitting at +126. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Quinn Priester and Sandy Alcantara.

Milwaukee is slugging .380 and have been rung up 674 times, while taking a walk on 291 occasions. They have recorded 368 RBI's and 695 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .247. The Brewers have accounted for 121 two-baggers as a team and have hit 79 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 397 runs and have an OBP of .322. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are compiling 4.7 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 8th in MLB.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29. Brewers pitchers have allowed 89 home runs and also 341 runs in total (12th in MLB). Milwaukee has yielded 672 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 313 earned runs. The Brewers have a team earned run average of 3.77 on the season (13th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 718 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 291 batters and their FIP is 4.00 as a team for the year.

The Brewers relievers have earned a save rate of 66.7% and have come into the game in 92 save situations. The relievers have inherited 114 runners over the course of the season and 34.2% of those players crossed home plate. Brewers bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 76 times in addition to having 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have dispatched 295 relievers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have 57 holds this season (5th in baseball). They have accumulated 22 saves so far this season and have missed out on 11 of their 33 chances to get a save.

The Brewers have transformed 70.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,726 innings, which has them sitting 15th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have accounted for 2,242 putouts so far this season, as well as 664 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .985 which is 19th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 62 double plays.

Priester has pitched in 177 innings and has accounted for 130 punch outs in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.98 (98 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.416. He has allowed 182 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) with 69 free passes. Priester (12-11 career mark) has a FIP of 4.90 and he has faced 779 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Marlins have a team slugging % of .391 and they tally 4.28 runs per game (17th in baseball). They have 142 doubles, while getting a free base 254 times and earning 355 runs. Miami has recorded 73 HRs this year to go along with 342 RBIs. They have struck out on 675 occasions (19th in MLB) and have earned a total of 725 hits. The Miami Marlins are sitting with an on-base percentage of .317 as well as a team batting average of .254 for the season.

The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 427 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.83 (397 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 97 dingers and they allow 5.19 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.370 with a FIP of 4.33 as a team so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 7.90 (649 strikeouts vs 283 walks). They are currently ranked 24th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 731.

Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.6% of 107 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 93 times in high leverage situations and also on 75 occasions with runners on. With 81 save situations, the Marlins have accumulated 47 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. They are currently ranked 21st in the league holding a save percentage of 57.6%, and they have dispatched 272 relievers to the hill this season. Miami has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 33 save opportunities and they have earned 19 saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 56 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in the majors). The Marlins have recorded 740 assists, 44 errors and have 2,220 putouts over the course of the season. In 6,660 innings played, the Marlins have a efficiency on defense of 69.1% (20th in baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Alcantara has surrendered 853 base hits while earning 852 K's in 980 innings pitched. Alcantara (45-63 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.62 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has given up 394 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.183 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.78 and he has faced 4,040 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-152)

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