Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+132) New York (-160)

The New York Mets (48-37) are hosting the Milwaukee Brewers (47-37) at Citi Field on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Brewers at +132 and the Mets are sitting at -160. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Freddy Peralta and Clay Holmes.

Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .380 and have been called out on strikes 674 times, while being walked on 291 occasions. They have recorded 368 RBI's as well as 695 hits on the season, and their average at the plate sits at .247. The Brewers have accounted for 121 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 79 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 397 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 4.7 runs per contest, which puts them at 8th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.47 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29. Brewers pitchers have conceded 89 long balls in addition to 341 total runs (13th in the league). Milwaukee has given up 672 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 313 earned runs. The Brewers have an earned run average of 3.77 over the course of the season (12th in the league), and their staff has struck out 718 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 291 opposing players and their FIP is 4.00 as a team for the season.

The Brewers relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 66.7% and have stepped onto the mound in 92 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 114 base runners on the campaign and 34.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. Brewers pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 76 times as well as having 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have dispatched 295 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relievers have accumulated 57 holds on the year (5th in the league). They have recorded 22 saves for the season and have missed out on 11 of their 33 save chances.

The Brewers have turned 70.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,726 innings on the field, which has them ranked 15th in the majors. The Miami Marlins are sitting with 2,242 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 664 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which has them sitting 19th in the majors, and have a total of 62 double plays.

Peralta (61-40 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.64 while going up against 3,515 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 641 base hits (6.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 328 free passes. His earned run average is 3.70 (348 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.144. Peralta has thrown 847 innings and has racked up 1,047 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

The Mets have a team SLG% of .417 and they score 4.33 runs per game (16th in the league). They have notched 135 doubles, while walking 294 times as well as earning 368 runs. New York has knocked in 109 home runs over the course of the season as well as 359 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 669 instances (21st in MLB) and have recorded 695 base knocks. The New York Mets have a team OBP of .323 and a team batting average of .245 over the course of the season.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 329 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.46 (290 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 64 home runs and they surrender 3.93 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.302 and have a FIP of 3.61 as a squad this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.80 (738 strikeouts against 314 free passes). They are sitting at 13th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 668.

With 91 save situations, the Mets have compiled 53 holds and also 15 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 38 save opportunities and they have converted 23 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 103 times in high leverage situations in addition to 90 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.8% out of 139 inherited base runners. They rank 20th in baseball with a save rate of 60.5%, and they have dispatched 271 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year.

The New York Mets have gotten 69 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (16th in professional baseball). The Mets have recorded 766 assists, 42 errors and have a tally of 2,262 putouts on the campaign. In 6,786 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (18th in the majors).

So far in his career, Holmes has conceded 360 base hits while he has earned 435 strikeouts in 425 innings pitched. Holmes (32-26 career record) has earned a 3.56 earned run average while surrendering 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 168 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.289 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.31 and he has gone up against 1,828 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-160)

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