Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+150) New York (-182)

The Milwaukee Brewers (47-37) are headed to Citi Field on Thursday where they will play the New York Mets (48-37). The moneyline on this contest has Milwaukee at +150 while New York is coming in at -182. The total has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Jose Quintana and David Peterson.

The Brewers have hit 121 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 79 baseballs out of the stadium. Milwaukee is slugging .380 and have struck out 674 times, while drawing a walk on 291 occasions. As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 4.7 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 8th in the league. They have tallied 368 runs batted in in addition to 695 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate sits at .247. They are sitting with 397 runs while having a team OBP of .322.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.29. Brewers pitchers have allowed 89 home runs and also 341 total runs (12th in baseball). Milwaukee has surrendered 672 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) and 313 earned runs. The Brewers are sitting with a team ERA of 3.77 on the season (13th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 718 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 291 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.00 as a squad for the season.

The Brewers bullpen have a save percentage of 66.7% and have entered the game in 92 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 114 runners for the year with 34.2% of those runners crossed home plate. Brewers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 76 times as well as having 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have dispatched 295 relievers to the hill this season. The bullpen are sitting with 57 holds this year (5th in MLB). They have accumulated 22 saves on the year and have blown 11 of their 33 save chances.

The Miami Marlins have notched a total of 2,242 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 664 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which puts them in 19th in baseball, and they have turned 62 double plays. The Brewers have turned 70.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,726 innings, ranking them 15th in professional baseball.

Quintana (108-105 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.67 while he has faced 8,514 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 1,981 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 618 walks. His earned run average is 3.73 (841 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.281. Quintana has pitched in 2,029 innings and has totaled 1,768 K's during his pro baseball career.

The New York Mets have compiled an OBP of .323 in addition to a batting average of .245 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 669 instances (23rd in baseball) and have totaled 695 base knocks. New York has knocked in 109 home runs for the season to go along with 359 RBIs. The Mets have a SLG% of .417 and they have an average of 4.33 runs per contest (15th in baseball). They have recorded 135 doubles, while getting a free base 294 times and putting up 368 runs.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.302 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.61 as a unit on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (738 strikeouts against 314 bases on balls). They are sitting at 9th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 668. They have conceded 64 long balls and they relinquish 3.93 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The New York pitching staff have conceded 329 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.46 (290 earned runs conceded).

New York has called on relievers to enter the contest in 38 save chances and they have earned 23 saves. They rank 19th in the league holding a save rate of 60.5%, and they have dispatched 271 relievers to the hill so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 103 times in high leverage situations and on 90 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.8% of 139 inherited base runners. Sitting with 91 save situations, the Mets have earned 53 holds and also 15 blown saves.

In their 6,786 innings on the diamond, the Mets have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.3% (18th in the majors). The New York Mets have gotten 69 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in professional baseball). The Mets have accrued 766 assists, 42 errors and are sitting with 2,262 putouts for the season.

So far in his MLB career, Peterson has allowed 515 hits while he has totaled 547 K's in 549 innings. He has allowed 241 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.359 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.37 and he has gone up against 2,350 opposing batters so far in his career. Peterson (33-28 career mark) has earned a 3.95 ERA while conceding 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-182)

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