Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 5/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-132) Tampa Bay (+110)

The Milwaukee Brewers (19-19) are hitting the road to George M. Steinbrenner Field on Sunday where they will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (16-21). The odds on this game have Milwaukee at -132 while Tampa Bay is at +110. The total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Freddy Peralta and Drew Rasmussen.

The Brewers have recorded 51 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 31 baseballs out of the park. Milwaukee is slugging .358 and have been called out on strikes 303 times, while drawing a walk on 131 occasions. As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 4.6 runs/g, which has them at 12th in baseball. They have 156 RBI's and 297 hits on the year, while their team batting average is at .237. They have earned 175 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .315.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.07 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.33. Brewers pitchers have surrendered 45 home runs in addition to 172 total runs (22nd in baseball). Milwaukee has surrendered 298 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 158 earned runs. The Brewers hold a team earned run average of 4.27 this year (20th in the league), and the staff has struck out 300 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 145 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.48 as a team on the campaign.

The Brewers have sent 134 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have inherited 54 runners on the campaign and 42.6% of those players earned a run for their team. They have earned 6 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 4 of their 10 chances to get a save. The Brewers relievers have compiled a save rate of 60.0% and have come into the game in 35 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 24 holds on the campaign (13th in baseball). Brewers pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 33 times in addition to having 33 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Miami Marlins are sitting with 999 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 289 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .981 which has them sitting 24th in MLB, and they have turned 28 double plays. The Brewers have turned 70.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,997 innings, which has them sitting at 11th in baseball.

Peralta has taken the ball for 799 innings and has racked up 997 K's so far in his career. Peralta (57-38 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.65 and he has gone up against 3,311 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.70 (329 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.140. He has allowed 602 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 309 free passes.

The Rays have a team SLG% of .365 and they score 3.81 runs per game (22nd in baseball). They have put up 53 doubles, while getting a free base 116 times as well as putting up 141 runs. Tampa Bay has 31 home runs on the season as well as 136 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 321 occasions (13th in MLB) and have tallied 301 hits. The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated an on-base percentage of .309 and a batting average of .243 this season.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have allowed 150 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.81 (141 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 50 long balls and they concede 4.05 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB). The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.206 with a FIP of 4.40 as a unit over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio is 7.80 (290 strikeouts vs 107 free passes). They are sitting at 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 295.

Sitting with 34 save situations, the Rays have 20 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on relievers to enter the contest in 14 save opportunities and they have recorded 10 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 39 times in high leverage situations in addition to 19 occasions with runners on. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 48.1% out of their 27 inherited base runners. They rank 7th in baseball with a save rate of 71.4%, and they have sent 121 relievers to the mound on the season.

In 3,003 innings played, the Rays have a defensive efficiency of 72.1% (6th in pro baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 42 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in professional baseball). The Rays have racked up 350 assists, 15 errors and have earned a total of 1,001 putouts for the season.

Rasmussen (21-15 career win-loss record) holds a 2.97 ERA and has allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.66 and he has gone up against 1,393 opposing batters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 114 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.086 and having a FIP of 2.9. In his pro baseball career, Rasmussen has allowed 284 base knocks while he has accumulated 333 punch outs in 345 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+110)

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