Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 5/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Thursday, May 15, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-210) Baltimore (+172)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the site where the Baltimore Orioles (15-24) will compete against the Minnesota Twins (21-20) on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Twins at -210 and the Orioles are at +172. The total has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Chris Paddack and Cade Povich.

Minnesota has a slugging rate of .373 and have struck out 335 times, while drawing a walk on 115 occasions. They have accumulated 157 RBI's and 322 base knocks for the season, while their batting average sits at .238. The Twins have compiled 68 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 35 balls out of the stadium. They have 164 runs scored and hold an OBP of .306. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are putting up 4.0 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 21st in the league.

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The Twins have an earned run average of 3.32 on the campaign (5th in the league), and their staff has struck out 365 hitters. Twins pitchers have conceded 40 long balls and 145 total runs (3rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 99 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.51 as a team this year. Minnesota has given up 317 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 132 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.69 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.16.

The Twins have sent 140 relievers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 45 runners so far this season and 35.6% of them crossed the plate. They have recorded 9 saves on the campaign and have not converted 7 of their 16 save opportunities. The Twins relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 56.3% and have stepped onto the mound in 50 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 33 holds on the year (4th in MLB). Twins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 31 times as well as having 51 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a tally of 1,072 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 282 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which has them sitting 22nd in baseball, and they have turned 22 double plays. The Twins have turned 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,216 innings on the field, ranking them 15th in professional baseball.

Paddack has taken the mound for 462 innings and has accumulated 447 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Paddack (28-27 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.35 and he has gone up against 1,941 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.42 (227 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.200. He has given up 450 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 105 free passes.

Baltimore has knocked in 46 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 138 RBIs. They have 51 doubles, while getting a free base 111 times as well as scoring 147 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have recorded an on-base percentage of .296 and a team batting average of .227 on the season. The Orioles hold a team SLG% of .386 and they have an average of 3.77 runs per contest (25th in baseball). They have struck out on 343 occasions (17th in the league) and have totaled 289 base hits.

The Orioles have a WHIP of 1.487 in addition to having a FIP of 4.95 as a unit for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 7.60 (284 strikeouts vs 133 walks). They come in at 23rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 368. They have allowed 58 HR's and they concede 5.66 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Baltimore pitching staff have given up 212 runs this season while holding an ERA of 5.31 (199 earned runs yielded).

With 35 save situations, the Orioles have compiled 24 holds in addition to 1 blown save. Baltimore has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 8 save chances and they have walked away with 7 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 29 times in high leverage situations and also on 45 occasions with runners on. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score rate of 27.9% of 61 inherited runners. They are ranked 1st in the league holding a save percentage of 87.5%, and they have dispatched 136 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.

In 3,033 innings on the diamond, the Orioles have a efficiency on defense of 67.7% (27th in the majors). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 31 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in pro baseball). The Orioles have recorded 354 assists, 21 errors and have a total of 1,011 putouts so far this season.

Thus far in his career, Povich has surrendered 123 base knocks and he has 98 punch outs in 114 frames. Povich (4-12 career record) has a 5.35 ERA and has conceded 9.7 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 68 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.477 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.13 and he has gone up against 510 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Baltimore (+172) and under 8.5 runs

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