Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/2/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, May 2, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+126) Boston (-152)

The Boston Red Sox (17-15) will take on the Minnesota Twins (13-18) at Fenway Park on Friday. The odds on this game have Minnesota at +126 and Boston is coming in at -152. The total is 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Joe Ryan and Walker Buehler.

As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are scoring 3.9 runs per outing, which ranks them 22nd in the league. They have accounted for 120 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .306. The Twins have hit 55 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 25 balls out of the park. They have amassed 114 runs batted in as well as 236 base knocks for the season, while their batting average is .232. Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .367 and have struck out 253 times, while drawing a walk on 92 occasions.

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The Twins have compiled a team ERA of 3.54 so far this season (8th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 267 hitters. Twins pitchers have conceded 33 long balls in addition to 115 total runs (8th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 77 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.72 as a team so far this season. Minnesota has conceded 240 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 105 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.47 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19.

The Twins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 37.5% and have entered the game in 31 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 36 base runners for the year and 38.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. Twins relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 23 times and also have had 26 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have sent 102 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have a total of 22 holds on the season (8th in MLB). They have earned 3 saves for the season and have blown 5 out of their 8 save opportunities.

The Twins have converted 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,403 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 15th in MLB. The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated 801 putouts thus far, in addition to 207 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .981 which puts them in 25th in pro baseball, and have 16 double plays.

Ryan has taken the hill for 504 frames and has accounted for 564 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 3.87 (217 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.063. He has allowed 423 base knocks (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 113 walks. Ryan (35-28 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.82 while he has faced 2,048 batters in the major leagues.

The Boston Red Sox have recorded an on-base percentage of .333 and a batting average of .251 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 293 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have notched a total of 279 base hits. Boston has accumulated 40 home runs this year as well as 155 RBIs. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .423 and they have an average of 5.12 runs per game (6th in the league). They have tallied 63 doubles, while getting a free base 127 times and putting up 164 runs.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.308 in addition to having a FIP of 3.69 as a unit for the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.70 (276 strikeouts against 102 free passes). They rank 25th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 271. They have conceded 29 homers and they yield 4.67 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 148 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.04 (128 earned runs surrendered).

Boston has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 14 save opportunities and they have walked away with 8 saves. They are currently ranked 21st in the league with a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have sent 97 relievers to the mound on the campaign. Their relievers have come in 30 times in high leverage situations and also on 23 occasions with runners on base. Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 50.0% out of their 30 inherited runners. Sitting with 24 save situations, the Red Sox have compiled 9 holds in addition to 6 blown saves.

In their 2,571 innings on the field, the Red Sox have a efficiency on defense of 67.4% (26th in baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 28 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .976 (29th in baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 289 assists, 28 errors and have earned 857 putouts so far this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Buehler has given up 620 base knocks while he has totaled 783 K's in 746 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 275 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.097 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.93 and he has gone up against 3,042 hitters in his pro baseball career. Buehler (51-23 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.32 ERA while giving up 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (-152)

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