Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+172) Boston (-210)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (17-15) will play the Minnesota Twins (13-18) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Twins at +172 and the Red Sox are at -210. The total is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Bailey Ober and Brayan Bello.

The Twins have recorded 55 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 25 baseballs out of the stadium. Minnesota has a slugging rate of .367 and have been called out on strikes 253 times, while being walked on 92 occasions. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are compiling 3.9 runs per game, which ranks them 22nd in MLB. They have accumulated 114 RBI's as well as 236 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .232. They have earned 120 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .306.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.47 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. Twins pitchers have allowed 33 home runs and 115 runs (8th in baseball). Minnesota has conceded 240 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 105 earned runs. The Twins have compiled a team earned run average of 3.54 on the year (8th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 267 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 77 batters and their FIP sits at 3.72 as a team for the year.

Twins relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 23 times as well as having 26 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 22 holds so far this year (8th in MLB). The Twins relievers have a save percentage of 37.5% and stepped onto the hill in 31 save situations. They have 3 saves on the campaign and have blown 5 out of their 8 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 36 base runners this season with 38.9% of them ended up scoring. The Twins have sent 102 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated 801 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 207 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .981 which puts them in 25th in pro baseball, and have earned 16 double plays. The Twins have transformed 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,403 innings, which has them sitting 15th in the majors.

Ober has pitched in 503 innings and has earned 509 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Ober (28-22 career record) has a FIP of 3.73 and he has gone up against 2,033 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.79 (212 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.087. He has surrendered 438 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 109 free passes.

Boston has accounted for 40 home runs this season to go along with 155 runs batted in. They have 63 doubles, while walking 127 times and putting up 164 runs. The Boston Red Sox have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .333 as well as a batting average of .251 so far this season. The Red Sox hold a slugging % of .423 and they have an average of 5.12 runs per game (6th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 293 instances (3rd in MLB) and are sitting with 279 base hits.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.308 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.69 as a pitching staff this season. They are sitting at 25th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 271. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 148 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.04 (128 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.70 (276 strikeouts against 102 walks). They have yielded 29 homers and they give up 4.67 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball).

Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 14 save opportunities and they have tallied 8 saves. They rank 21st in baseball holding a save rate of 57.1%, and they have sent 97 relievers to the mound so far this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 30 times in high leverage situations in addition to 23 occasions with base runners. Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 50.0% of 30 inherited base runners. Sitting with 24 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 9 holds and also 6 blown saves.

In their 2,571 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 67.4% (26th in pro baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 28 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .976 (29th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 289 assists, 28 errors and have earned 857 putouts this season.

So far in his MLB career, Bello has allowed 407 base hits and he has 347 strikeouts in 387 frames. He has surrendered 189 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.418 and having a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.44 and he has faced 1,686 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Bello (30-27 career record) is the owner of a 4.39 earned run average and has conceded 9.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (-210)

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