Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 5/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+125) Cleveland (-145)

The Minnesota Twins (13-17) are headed to Progressive Field on Thursday where they will compete against the Cleveland Guardians (16-13). The odds on this game have Minnesota at +125 while Cleveland opens at -145. The total is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Simeon Woods Richardson and Ben Lively.

The Twins have earned 55 doubles as a unit and have knocked 24 balls out of the park. Minnesota is slugging .370 and have struck out 240 times, while being walked on 90 occasions. As a team, the Minnesota Twins are scoring 3.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 20th in MLB. They have earned 113 runs batted in in addition to 230 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .233. They are sitting with 118 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .308.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.38 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.20. Twins pitchers have given up 32 home runs in addition to 111 total runs (9th in the league). Minnesota has allowed 235 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 101 earned runs. The Twins have a team ERA of 3.51 so far this year (9th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 257 hitters. They have walked 76 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.75 as a squad on the campaign.

Twins pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 22 times and also have had 26 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have 22 holds this year (7th in the league). The Twins relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 37.5% and stepped onto the hill in 31 save situations. They have earned 3 saves so far this season and have blown 5 of their 8 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 35 base runners so far this year and 37.1% of those runners ended up scoring. The Twins have sent 100 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with 777 putouts on the year, as well as 198 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which has them ranked 24th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 16 double plays. The Twins have turned 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,331 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 17th in baseball.

Woods Richardson has taken the ball for 167 innings and is sitting with 151 punch outs in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.31 (80 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.334. He has conceded 164 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 59 walks. Woods Richardson (7-8 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.24 while he has faced 720 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Cleveland Guardians have recorded an OBP of .304 in addition to a team batting average of .236 on the campaign. They have struck out on 225 instances (24th in MLB) and have notched a total of 222 base knocks. Cleveland has knocked in 32 HRs over the course of the season as well as 104 runs batted in. The Guardians have a team SLG% of .383 and they are recording 3.79 runs per outing (23rd in the league). They have hit 38 doubles, while taking a walk 88 times as well as scoring 110 runs.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.435 in addition to having a FIP of 4.42 as a team so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.60 (244 strikeouts vs 110 walks). They are sitting at 23rd in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 256. They have allowed 37 long balls and they surrender 4.84 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 137 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 4.48 (127 earned runs yielded).

With 40 save situations, the Guardians have amassed 28 holds and also 3 blown saves. Cleveland has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 12 save opportunities and they have tallied 9 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 26 times in high leverage situations and also on 24 occasions with base runners. Cleveland relievers hold an inherited score rate of 20.6% of 34 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 4th in MLB holding a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have sent 100 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 25 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (23rd in MLB). The Guardians have recorded 224 assists, 18 errors and have a total of 765 putouts during this campaign. In 2,295 innings played, the Guardians have a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (25th in baseball).

Lively (22-29 career record) is the owner of a 4.53 earned run average while allowing 9.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.42 and he has gone up against 1,664 opposing hitters during his career. He has given up a total of 196 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.343 and a FIP of 4.5. In his career, Lively has allowed 399 base hits while he has earned 300 strikeouts in 389 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Cleveland (-145) and under 9 runs

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