Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 8/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Sunday, August 3, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+125) Cleveland (-150)

Progressive Field is the site where the Cleveland Guardians (54-54) will take on the Minnesota Twins (51-57) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Twins at +125 and the Guardians are opening at -150. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Simeon Woods Richardson and Joey Cantillo.

The Twins have accrued 168 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 125 baseballs out of the park. Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .399 and have struck out 884 times, while drawing a walk on 322 occasions. As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are earning 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 22nd in the league. They have accrued 432 RBI's in addition to 870 hits on the campaign, and their batting average sits at .241. They have accounted for 451 runs scored and hold an OBP of .313.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.26 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27. Twins pitchers have given up 121 home runs in addition to 484 total runs (20th in MLB). Minnesota has surrendered 923 base knocks (8.8 per 9 innings) and 452 earned runs. The Twins hold a team earned run average of 4.29 for the year (23rd in MLB), and they have rung up 919 batters. They have walked 282 opposing players and their FIP is 3.86 as a team so far this season.

The Twins relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 57.1% and stepped onto the hill in 110 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 110 base runners on the season with 36.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. Twins relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 77 times as well as having 130 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have dispatched 373 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have recorded 73 holds for the year (6th in MLB). They have 20 saves so far this season and have blown 15 of their 35 save opportunities.

The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for 2,843 putouts this season, as well as 797 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate is at .986 which is 16th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 55 double plays. The Twins have converted 68.7% of balls in play into outs in their 8,529 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 26th in MLB.

Woods Richardson (10-10 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.25 while he has gone up against 962 batters in the majors. He has allowed 213 base hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has 88 walks. His earned run average is 4.31 (107 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.348. Woods Richardson has taken the hill for 223 innings and has racked up 194 punch outs so far in his MLB career.

Cleveland has accounted for 114 long balls so far this year to go along with 408 runs batted in. They have 162 doubles, while walking 350 times as well as notching 424 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have a team on-base percentage of .301 and a batting average of .228 for the season. The Guardians have a team slugging % of .377 and they score 3.93 runs per outing (26th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 883 occasions (18th in baseball) and have tallied 805 hits.

The Guardians have a WHIP of 1.312 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.14 as a staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.40 (899 strikeouts against 383 walks). They sit at 12th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 875. They have yielded 119 homers and they surrender 4.25 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 453 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.90 (416 earned runs given up).

Cleveland has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 44 save chances and they have tallied 30 saves. They sit at 7th in MLB holding a save rate of 68.2%, and they have sent 360 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 121 times in high leverage situations in addition to 92 occasions with runners on base. Cleveland relievers have an inherited score percentage of 36.7% out of their 128 inherited base runners. Sitting with 123 save situations, the Guardians have accumulated 76 holds and also 14 blown saves.

Out of their 8,637 innings on the diamond, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (19th in pro baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 85 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in baseball). The Guardians have recorded 891 assists, 70 errors and have amassed 2,879 putouts on the campaign.

In his MLB career, Cantillo has allowed 79 base hits while earning 107 punch outs in 88 innings. Cantillo (4-5 career win-loss mark) has a 4.49 ERA while giving up 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 44 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.383 and a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.49 and he has gone up against 382 opposing batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+125)

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