Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 9/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+125) Kansas City (-150)

The Kansas City Royals (71-69) will go up against the Minnesota Twins (62-78) at Kauffman Stadium on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Twins at +125 while the Royals are sitting at -150. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Bailey Ober and Michael Lorenzen.

Minnesota is slugging .398 and have been rung up 1,159 times, while being walked on 431 occasions. They have 563 RBI's as well as 1,124 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average sits at .239. The Twins have tallied 213 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 165 balls out of the stadium. They have 592 runs while holding a team OBP of .312. As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.2 runs per outing, which has them at 22nd in the league.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

The Twins are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.55 on the season (24th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,177 batters. Twins pitchers have conceded 171 home runs and 669 total runs (23rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 393 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.14 as a unit so far this year. Minnesota has surrendered 1,238 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and also 623 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.99 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.32.

The Twins relief pitchers have a save rate of 53.1% and have come into the game in 135 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 149 runners on the year and 38.3% of those players ended up scoring. Twins pitchers have entered the game with runners on 104 times and also have had 160 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have dispatched 476 relievers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have earned 84 holds so far this year (11th in the league). They have earned 26 saves so far this season and have blown 23 out of their 49 chances to save the game.

The Milwaukee Brewers have notched a total of 3,699 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,042 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which is 16th in baseball, and have a total of 86 double plays. The Twins have turned 68.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,097 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 27th in MLB.

Ober has taken the mound for 595 innings and has totaled 583 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Ober (29-28 career record) has a FIP of 4.01 and he has gone up against 2,428 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.07 (269 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.128. He has conceded 542 base knocks (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 129 free passes.

Kansas City has accounted for 136 long balls this year as well as 527 RBIs. They have 244 doubles, while taking a walk 368 times and recording 537 runs. The Kansas City Royals have a team OBP of .306 and a team batting average of .245 so far this year. The Royals have a SLG% of .393 and they are scoring 3.84 runs per contest (28th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 948 occasions (30th in the league) and have earned 1,142 base knocks.

The Kansas City pitching staff have surrendered 544 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.65 (505 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 143 home runs and they yield 3.93 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Royals have a team WHIP of 1.244 and have a FIP of 3.97 as a pitching staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 7.90 (1,097 strikeouts against 415 walks). They are currently ranked 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,134.

Kansas City has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 60 save opportunities and they have come away with 42 saves. They are currently ranked 3rd in baseball with a save rate of 70.0%, and they have dispatched 469 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relief pitchers have come in 153 times in high leverage situations in addition to 139 occasions with runners on. Kansas City bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 27.9% out of their 190 inherited base runners. Sitting with 134 save situations, the Royals have amassed 73 holds and also 18 blown saves.

Out of their 11,205 innings on the diamond, the Royals hold a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (7th in pro baseball). The Kansas City Royals have turned 110 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .989 (4th in professional baseball). The Royals have recorded 1,237 assists, 56 errors and have earned a total of 3,735 putouts over the course of the season.

In his pro baseball career, Lorenzen has conceded 896 base hits while tallying 804 K's in 973 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 439 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.313 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.10 and he has gone up against 4,118 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Lorenzen (52-53 career record) has a 4.06 ERA and has surrendered 8.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+125)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here