Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 7/21/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Monday, July 21, 2025

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum SportsNet LA

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+120) Los Angeles (-144)

The Minnesota Twins (47-49) are hitting the road to Dodger Stadium on Monday where they will attempt to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers (58-39). The line on this contest has Minnesota at +120 and Los Angeles opens at -144. The total is set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Zebby Matthews and Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

The Twins have earned 150 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 112 baseballs out of the park. Minnesota is slugging .397 and have been called out on strikes 792 times, while drawing a walk on 273 occasions. As a team, the Minnesota Twins are knocking in 4.2 runs/g, which ranks them 20th in baseball. They have accumulated 387 RBI's as well as 771 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate is at .240. They have earned a total of 402 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .309.

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The Twins have compiled a team earned run average of 4.07 this year (19th in baseball), and they have struck out 811 batters. Twins pitchers have surrendered 98 long balls in addition to 410 total runs (17th in the league). They have walked 249 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.70 as a unit so far this year. Minnesota has allowed 803 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 381 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.26 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Twins bullpen have a save rate of 57.6% and have entered the game in 104 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 98 runners on the season with 34.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Twins bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 69 times in addition to having 118 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have sent 329 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relievers have notched 69 holds so far this season (4th in baseball). They have earned 19 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 14 out of their 33 save opportunities.

The Twins have turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,587 innings on the field, which ranks them 21st in professional baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for 2,529 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 709 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which has them ranked 17th in the majors, and have accumulated 47 double plays.

Matthews has taken the hill for 56 innings and has earned 68 strikeouts so far in his career. Matthews (2-5 record in his career) has a FIP of 6.15 while going up against 260 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 6.25 (39 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.601. He has allowed 71 hits (11.4 hits per nine innings) and has 19 walks.

Los Angeles has compiled 145 long balls this season and 500 RBIs. They have hit 160 doubles, while getting a free base 353 times and scoring 518 runs. The Los Angeles Dodgers are sitting with a team OBP of .331 in addition to a batting average of .256 for the year. The Dodgers have a team slugging % of .445 and they tally 5.34 runs per outing (1st in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 806 occasions (14th in baseball) and have 850 hits.

The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.313 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.29 as a staff on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (851 strikeouts against 339 bases on balls). They rank 18th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 798. They have relinquished 123 homers and they allow 4.67 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Los Angeles pitching staff have conceded 449 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.29 (413 earned runs yielded).

Los Angeles relievers hold an inherited score rate of 23.3% out of 116 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 98 times in high leverage situations and on 81 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 121 save situations, the Dodgers have accrued 75 holds and also 14 blown saves. They are currently ranked 10th in the league with a save rate of 67.4%, and they have sent 350 relievers to the mound so far this season. Los Angeles has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 43 save chances and they have converted 29 saves.

In 7,797 innings played, the Dodgers have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (16th in professional baseball). The Los Angeles Dodgers have gotten 71 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in professional baseball). The Dodgers have recorded 833 assists, 44 errors and have earned a total of 2,599 putouts for the year.

In his MLB career, Yamamoto has allowed 151 base hits while he has totaled 221 punch outs in 194 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 60 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.077 and a FIP of 2.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.81 and he has gone up against 784 opposing batters during his MLB career. Yamamoto (15-9 mark in his career) is the owner of a 2.78 earned run average and has surrendered 7.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+120)

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