Minnesota Twins vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/2/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, July 2, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-152) Miami (+126)

The Miami Marlins (37-45) will play the Minnesota Twins (40-44) at loanDepot park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Twins at -152 while the Marlins are at +126. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Simeon Woods Richardson and Janson Junk.

Minnesota owns a slugging percentage of .395 and have been called out on strikes 694 times, while drawing a walk on 248 occasions. They have tallied 343 RBI's as well as 678 hits for the season, and their team batting average comes in at .241. The Twins have earned 132 doubles as a team and have smacked 96 baseballs out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 356 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .312. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which puts them at 18th in the league.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.25 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.26. Twins pitchers have relinquished 89 long balls and 370 runs (20th in the league). Minnesota has allowed 701 base knocks (8.6 per 9 innings) and 344 earned runs. The Twins have compiled a team earned run average of 4.21 on the campaign (22nd in baseball), and the staff has rung up 725 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 223 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.77 as a unit this year.

The Twins bullpen have a save percentage of 55.2% and have entered the game in 85 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 87 runners on the year with 36.8% of them ended up crossing the plate. Twins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 61 times and also have had 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have sent 286 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relievers have accumulated 54 holds this season (7th in MLB). They have compiled 16 saves this season and have blown 13 of 29 save opportunities.

The Twins have transformed 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,624 innings, which has them sitting at 21st in pro baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have 2,208 putouts so far this season, as well as 616 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which puts them in 22nd in pro baseball, and they have turned 40 double plays.

Woods Richardson (8-10 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.36 while he has faced 866 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 194 base hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 75 walks. His ERA is 4.43 (99 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.337. Woods Richardson has taken the mound for 201 frames and is sitting with 177 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

Miami has knocked in 72 long balls for the season and 340 RBIs. They have tallied 142 two-baggers, while taking a walk 253 times and scoring 353 runs. The Miami Marlins have earned an on-base percentage of .317 and a team batting average of .254 so far this season. The Marlins have a slugging percentage of .390 and they score 4.30 runs per contest (17th in the league). They have been rung up on 671 instances (20th in the league) and have tallied 717 base hits.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.383 with a FIP of 4.37 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.90 (640 strikeouts vs 282 free passes). They are currently ranked 24th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 729. They have yielded 97 dingers and they relinquish 5.26 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball). The Miami pitching staff have conceded 427 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.89 (397 earned runs yielded).

Miami has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 32 save opportunities and they have converted 18 saves. They sit at 23rd in the league with a save rate of 56.3%, and they have sent 270 relievers to the mound on the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 91 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with runners on base. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.6% out of their 107 inherited base runners. Sitting with 79 save situations, the Marlins have earned 46 holds and 14 blown saves.

Out of their 6,579 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (22nd in professional baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 56 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in MLB). The Marlins have accrued 729 assists, 44 errors and have accumulated 2,193 putouts so far this season.

So far in his MLB career, Junk has conceded 94 hits while he has tallied 60 K's in 71 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 43 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.505 and a FIP of 5.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.62 and he has gone up against 317 opposing batters in his career. Junk (3-3 win-loss record in his career) holds a 5.44 ERA and has given up 11.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (-152)

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