Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 5/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-152) Milwaukee (+126)

The Minnesota Twins (24-20) are hitting the road to American Family Field on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers (21-23). The odds on this game have Minnesota at -152 and Milwaukee is sitting at +126. The betting total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Zebby Matthews and Freddy Peralta.

Minnesota is slugging .382 and have been called out on strikes 361 times, while being walked on 128 occasions. They have accumulated 174 RBI's as well as 348 hits on the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .239. The Twins have recorded 72 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 42 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 182 runs while holding a team OBP of .309. As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.1 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 16th in the league.

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The Twins hold a team earned run average of 3.30 on the season (5th in the league), and their staff has struck out 388 hitters. Twins pitchers have yielded 43 home runs and also 154 runs in total (5th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 108 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.54 as a squad for the year. Minnesota has given up 338 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 141 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.59 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.16.

Twins relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 33 times and also have had 56 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 36 holds this year (2nd in MLB). The Twins relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 61.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 56 save situations. They have 11 saves this season and have blown 7 of 18 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 47 runners this year and 34.0% of those players crossed the plate. The Twins have sent 151 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Twins have turned 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,459 innings on the field, ranking them 15th in professional baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have notched a total of 1,153 putouts this year, as well as 311 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which has them sitting 22nd in the majors, and they have turned 25 double plays.

Matthews (1-4 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 6.67 while he has faced 177 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 51 hits (12.3 hits per 9 innings) with 11 free passes. His earned run average is 6.77 (28 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.667. Matthews has thrown 37 innings and is sitting with 43 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Brewers hold a slugging percentage of .355 and they average 4.39 runs per contest (15th in the league). They have recorded 58 doubles, while getting a free base 149 times and putting up 193 runs. Milwaukee has 37 HRs on the season and 174 RBIs. They have been rung up on 353 instances (18th in the league) and have a total of 339 hits. The Milwaukee Brewers hold an OBP of .310 and a batting average of .233 so far this year.

The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.326 and have a FIP of 4.40 as a staff so far this season. They come in at 9th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 338. The Milwaukee pitching staff have allowed 193 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.16 (177 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.10 (346 strikeouts vs 170 free passes). They have given up 49 long balls and they allow 4.53 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league).

Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.1% out of their 70 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 46 times in high leverage situations and also on 42 occasions with base runners. With 40 save situations, the Brewers have accrued 28 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. They are ranked 15th in baseball with a save rate of 63.6%, and they have sent 160 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Milwaukee has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 11 save opportunities and they have recorded 7 saves.

Out of their 3,453 innings played, the Brewers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (11th in professional baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 33 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (24th in pro baseball). The Brewers have recorded 336 assists, 28 errors and have a tally of 1,151 putouts so far this year.

Thus far in his career, Peralta has surrendered 606 base knocks while tallying 1,001 strikeouts in 804 innings pitched. Peralta (57-39 career mark) holds a 3.73 ERA while conceding 6.8 hits per nine innings. He has given up 333 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.141 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.21 and he has gone up against 3,334 opposing hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+126)

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