Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Prediction, 8/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees

Date: Monday, August 11, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+106) New York (-128)

Yankee Stadium is the location where the New York Yankees (61-54) will take on the Minnesota Twins (54-60) on Monday. The moneyline on this game has the Twins at +106 while the Yankees are at -128. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Zebby Matthews and Will Warren.

As a team, the Minnesota Twins are earning 4.2 runs/g, which has them sitting at 21st in the league. They have a total of 480 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .313. The Twins have accrued 180 doubles as a team and have smacked 134 baseballs out of the park. They have 458 runs batted in and 919 base knocks on the year, while their batting average is at .241. Minnesota is slugging .401 and have struck out 939 times, while taking a walk on 339 occasions.

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The Twins have compiled a team ERA of 4.28 over the course of the season (23rd in the league), and their staff has struck out 966 batters. Twins pitchers have conceded 130 home runs and also 509 total runs (19th in MLB). They have walked 292 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.89 as a team on the year. Minnesota has given up 980 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 476 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.31 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Twins relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 57.9% and have come into the game in 116 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 113 runners this season with 35.4% of those runners crossed home plate. Twins pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 81 times in addition to having 137 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have sent 392 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have 76 holds this year (6th in MLB). They have earned 22 saves on the campaign and have not converted 16 of their 38 chances to get a save.

The Milwaukee Brewers have amassed 3,000 putouts so far this season, in addition to 840 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which has them ranked 13th in MLB, and have accumulated 61 double plays. The Twins have converted 68.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 9,000 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 27th in pro baseball.

Matthews (4-7 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 5.89 while facing 343 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 94 base hits (11.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 21 walks. His ERA is 5.98 (50 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.527. Matthews has taken the mound for 75 innings and is sitting with 91 strikeouts so far in his career.

The New York Yankees have earned an OBP of .329 and a team batting average of .250 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,007 instances (7th in MLB) and have tallied 976 base hits. New York has accumulated 182 home runs on the year and 563 RBIs. The Yankees hold a team SLG% of .447 and they average 5.10 runs per outing (3rd in the league). They have recorded 189 doubles, while walking 434 times and putting up 587 runs.

The New York pitching staff have given up 499 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.05 (457 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 129 homers and they relinquish 4.42 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.264 and have a FIP of 4.05 as a squad for the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,019 strikeouts vs 402 walks). They have a ranking of 5th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 882.

New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 26.6% out of 188 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 117 times in high leverage situations and on 126 occasions with runners on. With 115 save situations, the Yankees have earned 67 holds and also 16 blown saves. They rank 9th in the league with a save percentage of 66.0%, and they have sent 383 relievers to the hill so far this year. New York has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 47 save opportunities and they have tallied 31 saves.

The New York Yankees have gotten 75 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in MLB). The Yankees have 974 assists, 63 errors and have a tally of 3,050 putouts on the campaign. In 9,150 innings on the diamond, the Yankees are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (10th in professional baseball).

In his career, Warren has surrendered 143 base hits while he has totaled 162 punch outs in 137 frames. Warren (6-8 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 5.44 ERA and has given up 9.4 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 83 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.507 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.53 and he has gone up against 619 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+106)

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