Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 5/31/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Saturday, May 31, 2025

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+125) Seattle (-145)

The Minnesota Twins (30-25) are hitting the road to T-Mobile Park on Saturday where they will compete against the Seattle Mariners (30-24). The line on this contest has the Twins at +125 and the Mariners are opening at -145. The total is 8. The starting pitchers will be Bailey Ober and Luis Castillo.

The Twins have accrued 86 doubles as a unit and have knocked 51 baseballs out of the stadium. Minnesota is slugging .375 and have struck out 449 times, while drawing a walk on 150 occasions. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are earning 3.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 23rd in the league. They have 206 RBI's as well as 431 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average is at .236. They have accumulated 216 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .305.

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The Twins have compiled a team ERA of 3.29 over the course of the season (7th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 487 batters. Twins pitchers have surrendered 49 home runs and 190 runs in total (2nd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 133 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.37 as a unit on the campaign. Minnesota has given up 425 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 176 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.66 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.16.

The Twins bullpen have a save percentage of 59.1% and stepped onto the hill in 64 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 56 runners over the course of the season with 39.3% of those players crossed the plate. Twins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 39 times and also have had 71 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have dispatched 188 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 40 holds this season (4th in MLB). They have 13 saves this year and have blown 9 of 22 chances to save the game.

The Twins have converted 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 4,332 innings, which ranks them 16th in baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have earned 1,444 putouts this year, in addition to 383 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .985 which is 18th in pro baseball, and they have turned 29 double plays.

Ober (29-22 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.67 while he has faced 2,142 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 465 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 115 free passes. His ERA is 3.73 (219 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.096. Ober has thrown 529 frames and has earned 530 punch outs during his career.

Seattle is sitting with 73 long balls on the campaign and 238 RBIs. They have notched 68 doubles, while getting a free base 210 times and putting up 247 runs. The Seattle Mariners have an OBP of .324 and a batting average of .238 over the course of the season. The Mariners hold a slugging % of .398 and they earn 4.57 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have been rung up on 481 occasions (9th in MLB) and have tallied 435 hits.

The Seattle pitching staff have relinquished 229 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.74 (203 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 56 home runs and they allow 4.22 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Mariners have a WHIP of 1.317 and have a FIP of 3.92 as a pitching staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 7.90 (431 strikeouts against 165 walks). They are sitting at 23rd in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 478.

Seattle bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 25.5% out of their 47 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 77 times in high leverage situations in addition to 41 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 55 save situations, the Mariners have earned 29 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. They rank 8th in baseball with a save rate of 69.2%, and they have dispatched 184 relievers to the mound for the year. Seattle has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 26 save chances and they have come away with 18 saves.

The Seattle Mariners have gotten 45 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in MLB). The Mariners have accrued 478 assists, 24 errors and have notched a total of 1,466 putouts this year. In their 4,398 innings on the diamond, the Mariners have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (21st in pro baseball).

Castillo (77-79 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.55 ERA while allowing 7.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.23 and he has faced 5,344 opposing batters in his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 509 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.183 and a FIP of 3.5. During his pro baseball career, Castillo has surrendered 1,100 base knocks and he has 1,381 strikeouts in 1,292 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-145)

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