New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 5/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Monday, May 5, 2025

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-150) Arizona (+125)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (17-14) will try to beat the New York Mets (21-11) at Chase Field on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has New York at -150 while Arizona is coming in at +125. The total has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are David Peterson and Corbin Burnes.

New York has a slugging percentage of .415 and have been rung up 239 times, while taking a walk on 113 occasions. They have earned 144 runs batted in as well as 260 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average is at .244. The Mets have tallied 59 doubles as a team and have hit 36 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 150 runs and have an on-base percentage of .323. As a unit, the New York Mets are scoring 4.7 runs per contest, which has them at 10th in MLB.

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The Mets have compiled a team ERA of 2.68 on the campaign (1st in baseball), and they have struck out 303 hitters. Mets pitchers have allowed 16 long balls in addition to 98 runs in total (2nd in baseball). They have walked 104 hitters and their FIP sits at 2.88 as a squad this season. New York has yielded 244 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 85 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.91 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.22.

The Mets relievers have accumulated a save rate of 66.7% and have come into the game in 44 save situations. The relievers have inherited 43 base runners over the course of the season with 30.2% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Mets pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 30 times as well as having 45 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 105 relievers to the hill for the season. The relievers have notched 29 holds for the season (3rd in baseball). They have recorded 10 saves so far this season and have blown 5 of 15 save chances.

The Mets have turned 68.8% of balls in play into outs out of 2,565 innings, which ranks them 21st in MLB. The Minnesota Twins have a total of 855 putouts thus far, as well as 274 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .989 which ranks 6th in the majors, and have earned 23 double plays.

Peterson has taken the ball for 486 frames and has 494 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Peterson (30-25 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.96 and he has faced 2,087 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.02 (217 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.374. He has conceded 462 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 206 free passes.

The Diamondbacks hold a team slugging percentage of .438 and they are scoring 5.19 runs per outing (4th in baseball). They have recorded 63 doubles, while walking 129 times and scoring 161 runs. Arizona is sitting with 42 home runs so far this season to go along with 156 RBIs. They have struck out on 234 instances (27th in the league) and have notched a total of 255 hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks hold an on-base percentage of .331 in addition to a team batting average of .245 on the campaign.

The Diamondbacks have a WHIP of 1.280 in addition to having a FIP of 4.15 as a staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.90 (276 strikeouts vs 103 walks). They are sitting at 17th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 254. They have yielded 39 dingers and they yield 4.87 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB). The Arizona pitching staff have given up 151 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.39 (136 earned runs conceded).

Arizona has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 15 save opportunities and they have walked away with 10 saves. They sit at 13th in MLB holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 93 relievers to the mound this year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 33 times in high leverage situations and also on 25 occasions with runners on base. Arizona relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.0% out of their 29 inherited runners. Sitting with 37 save situations, the Diamondbacks have compiled 21 holds and 5 blown saves.

In 2,511 innings played, the Diamondbacks are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (17th in pro baseball). The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 23 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (23rd in baseball). The Diamondbacks have 276 assists, 20 errors and have a tally of 837 putouts so far this year.

So far in his MLB career, Burnes has given up 735 base knocks while totaling 1,079 strikeouts in 935 innings pitched. Burnes (61-37 career mark) has a 3.20 earned run average while allowing 7.1 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 333 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.075 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.98 and he has faced 3,789 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (+125)

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