New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 8/22/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, August 22, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-182) Atlanta (+150)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (58-69) will play the New York Mets (67-59) on Friday. The odds on this game have the Mets at -182 and the Braves are sitting at +150. The total has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Clay Holmes and Joey Wentz.

The Mets have accumulated 199 doubles as a unit and have knocked 160 balls out of the stadium. New York has a slugging rate of .415 and have been called out on strikes 1,001 times, while drawing a walk on 426 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are compiling 4.5 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 13th in the league. They have accrued 539 runs batted in in addition to 1,008 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .244. They have earned a total of 554 runs scored and have an OBP of .321.

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The Mets hold a team earned run average of 3.78 on the year (7th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,059 hitters. Mets pitchers have surrendered 115 long balls and also 518 runs in total (10th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 446 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.93 as a team this year. New York has yielded 1,004 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 462 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.37 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.32.

The Mets relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 62.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 138 save situations. The relievers have inherited 197 runners so far this season and 34.5% of them crossed home plate. Mets bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 133 times in addition to having 155 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 408 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have racked up 80 holds so far this season (7th in MLB). They have compiled 36 saves on the season and have not converted 22 of 58 save opportunities.

The Mets have transformed 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,900 innings on the field, which ranks them 18th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have earned a total of 3,300 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,118 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which is 12th in professional baseball, and they have turned 91 double plays.

Holmes has taken the mound for 468 innings and is sitting with 465 punch outs in his career. Holmes (34-28 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.64 and he has faced 2,021 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.69 (192 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.314. He has given up 409 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 206 free passes.

The Atlanta Braves have compiled a team OBP of .320 as well as a team batting average of .244 for the year. They have been rung up on 1,087 occasions (8th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,040 base hits. Atlanta has a total of 141 long balls over the course of the season to go along with 526 runs batted in. The Braves hold a slugging % of .394 and they earn 4.36 runs per outing (16th in the league). They have recorded 187 two-baggers, while taking a walk 451 times as well as putting up 545 runs.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.298 and have a FIP of 4.13 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They have a ranking of 15th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,017. The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 557 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.29 (527 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.90 (1,095 strikeouts against 419 walks). They have surrendered 146 dingers and they yield 4.53 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).

Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.5% out of their 169 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 128 times in high leverage situations and on 127 occasions with runners on base. With 93 save situations, the Braves have 54 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. They sit at 21st in baseball with a save rate of 59.0%, and they have dispatched 402 relievers to the hill so far this year. Atlanta has had relievers enter the contest in 39 save chances and they have earned 23 saves.

In their 9,960 innings played, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (14th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 84 double plays and have a fielding rate of .990 (2nd in baseball). The Braves have accrued 1,073 assists, 44 errors and have a tally of 3,320 putouts on the campaign.

Wentz (10-20 career record) is the owner of a 5.37 earned run average while giving up 9.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.06 and he has gone up against 1,228 batters thus far in his career. He has surrendered 163 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.492 and having a FIP of 5.3. In his career, Wentz has allowed 283 hits and he has 257 punch outs in 273 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+150)

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