New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 7/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-150) Baltimore (+125)

The New York Mets (52-39) are headed to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the Baltimore Orioles (40-49). The line on this contest has the Mets at -150 and the Orioles open at +125. The total is 9. The pitchers taking the mound are David Peterson and Tomoyuki Sugano.

New York has a slugging percentage of .418 and have struck out 710 times, while drawing a walk on 311 occasions. They have accounted for 392 RBI's as well as 744 hits on the campaign, and their batting average is sitting at .245. The Mets have recorded 142 doubles as a team and have hit 118 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 402 runs and hold an OBP of .324. As a unit, the New York Mets are recording 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 14th in the league.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.35 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.30. Mets pitchers have allowed 79 long balls and also 358 total runs (9th in the league). New York has relinquished 720 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 318 earned runs. The Mets hold a team earned run average of 3.54 over the course of the season (6th in baseball), and they have struck out 786 hitters. They have walked 334 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.77 as a squad for the season.

Mets pitchers have entered the game with runners on 97 times and also have had 108 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have recorded 59 holds on the season (8th in MLB). The Mets relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 61.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 101 save situations. They have accumulated 26 saves on the year and have blown 16 out of their 42 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 148 base runners on the season and 34.5% of them crossed home plate. The Mets have dispatched 291 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Minnesota Twins have amassed 2,424 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 820 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them sitting 12th in the majors, and have accumulated 73 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,272 innings on the field, which has them ranked 17th in MLB.

Peterson (34-28 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.86 and he has gone up against 2,378 batters in the majors. He has given up 520 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 234 walks. His ERA is 3.92 (242 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.356. Peterson has thrown 556 innings and has totaled 551 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

Baltimore has compiled 107 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 350 RBIs. They have put up 139 doubles, while getting a free base 252 times and scoring 371 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have tallied a team OBP of .305 as well as a team batting average of .239 for the year. The Orioles have a team SLG% of .400 and they average 4.17 runs per outing (19th in the league). They have been rung up on 788 occasions (9th in baseball) and have accounted for 713 base knocks.

The Baltimore pitching staff have given up 453 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.94 (429 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 123 home runs and they allow 5.21 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.421 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.47 as a staff so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (734 strikeouts against 287 walks). They come in at 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 824.

Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 18.4% of 136 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 95 times in high leverage situations and on 103 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 105 save situations, the Orioles have earned 68 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They sit at 11th in baseball with a save rate of 64.7%, and they have dispatched 316 relievers onto the diamond so far this year. Baltimore has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 34 save chances and they have converted 22 saves.

In their 7,041 innings played, the Orioles hold a efficiency on defense of 67.3% (29th in professional baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 64 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (24th in pro baseball). The Orioles have recorded 779 assists, 49 errors and have earned 2,347 putouts this year.

Thus far in his career, Sugano has allowed 103 base knocks while he has earned 57 punch outs in 93 frames. Sugano (6-5 career record) has earned a 4.45 ERA while surrendering 10.0 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 46 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.310 and having a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.00 and he has gone up against 397 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-150)

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