New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, May 19, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-275) Boston (+220)

The New York Mets (28-16) are traveling to Fenway Park on Monday where they will meet the Boston Red Sox (22-23). The moneyline on this contest has New York at -275 and Boston is coming in at +220. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Kodai Senga and Hunter Dobbins.

As a squad, the New York Mets are recording 4.7 runs per outing, which is 12th in the league. They have a total of 205 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .332. The Mets have hit 77 doubles as a squad and have hit 52 balls out of the park. They have compiled 197 runs batted in and 371 hits so far this season, while their team batting average comes in at .253. New York has a slugging percentage of .427 and have been called out on strikes 331 times, while drawing a walk on 157 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.68 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24. Mets pitchers have conceded 28 home runs and 140 total runs (1st in MLB). New York has surrendered 334 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 123 earned runs. The Mets have a team earned run average of 2.84 so far this season (1st in MLB), and the staff has rung up 400 batters. They have walked 149 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.24 as a team on the campaign.

The Mets have dispatched 142 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 57 runners this season with 31.6% of those players crossed home plate. They have 12 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 8 of their 20 save chances. The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 60.0% and have come into the game in 55 save situations. The bullpen have accumulated 35 holds over the course of the season (4th in baseball). Mets pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 39 times in addition to having 57 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have converted 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 3,510 innings, which has them sitting at 18th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have a tally of 1,170 putouts on the year, as well as 376 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which puts them in 12th in pro baseball, and have earned 32 double plays.

Senga (17-9 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 2.59 and he has gone up against 891 batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 162 base hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 97 walks. His earned run average is 2.63 (63 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.203. Senga has taken the ball for 215 frames and has 253 strikeouts thus far in his career.

Boston has 56 home runs so far this year as well as 211 RBIs. They have put up 82 two-baggers, while getting a free base 153 times and putting up 221 runs. The Boston Red Sox have compiled a team OBP of .326 in addition to a batting average of .255 so far this season. The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .421 and they are earning 4.91 runs per game (6th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 416 instances (2nd in MLB) and have earned a total of 401 base hits.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.305 in addition to having a FIP of 3.73 as a staff over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (376 strikeouts against 134 free passes). They are sitting at 26th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 392. They have allowed 42 long balls and they concede 4.60 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Boston pitching staff have allowed 206 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.00 (179 earned runs yielded).

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 37.5% of 48 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 52 times in high leverage situations and on 38 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 35 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 13 holds and also 11 blown saves. They are currently ranked 28th in the league holding a save percentage of 47.6%, and they have sent 139 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season. Boston has had relief pitchers take the mound in 21 save chances and they have tallied 10 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 38 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .976 (30th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 402 assists, 39 errors and have amassed 1,211 putouts for the season. Out of their 3,633 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (29th in pro baseball).

In his MLB career, Dobbins has surrendered 32 base hits while he has accumulated 23 strikeouts in 27 frames. He has given up a total of 12 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.324 and a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 5.75 and he has gone up against 119 batters during his career. Dobbins (2-1 career mark) has a 3.97 ERA while giving up 10.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-275)

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