New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, September 26, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-150) Miami (+125)

The Miami Marlins (77-81) welcome the New York Mets (81-77) at loanDepot park on Friday. The moneyline on this game has New York at -150 and Miami is sitting at +125. The total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Brandon Sproat and Sandy Alcantara.

The Mets have accumulated 256 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 220 balls out of the park. New York owns a slugging percentage of .429 and have struck out 1,288 times, while taking a walk on 545 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.8 runs per outing, which ranks them 10th in MLB. They have accumulated 732 RBI's in addition to 1,330 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .250. They have tallied 751 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .327.

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The Mets have an ERA of 4.03 on the season (18th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,356 hitters. Mets pitchers have allowed 145 home runs and 700 runs in total (18th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 547 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.89 as a squad this season. New York has allowed 1,311 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 626 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.48 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.33.

Mets relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 171 times in addition to having 184 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 96 holds so far this year (8th in the league). The Mets relievers have earned a save rate of 58.2% and have entered the game in 164 save situations. They have compiled 39 saves for the year and have blown 28 of 67 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 251 runners over the course of the season and 34.7% of them earned a run for their team. The Mets have dispatched 524 relievers to the mound this season.

The Mets have transformed 68.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,582 innings, which has them sitting 25th in pro baseball. The Minnesota Twins have notched a total of 4,194 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,436 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .986 which has them sitting 13th in the majors, and they have turned 117 double plays.

Sproat has taken the ball for 16 frames and has 15 punch outs during his MLB career. Sproat (0-1 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.88 and he has gone up against 64 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.94 (7 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.188. He has surrendered 13 base knocks (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 6 free passes.

The Marlins have a team slugging % of .396 and they average 4.42 runs per contest (16th in MLB). They have 268 two-baggers, while getting a free base 470 times as well as notching 699 runs. Miami has accounted for 153 home runs for the year as well as 667 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,224 occasions (27th in MLB) and have 1,363 base hits. The Miami Marlins have recorded a team OBP of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .251 over the course of the season.

The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 790 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.66 (729 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 197 homers and they relinquish 5.05 runs per 9 innings (26th in baseball). The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.306 and have a FIP of 4.37 as a squad this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.00 (1,254 strikeouts vs 489 walks). They sit at 23rd in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,350.

Sitting with 148 save situations, the Marlins have 85 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. Miami has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 61 save chances and they have tallied 39 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 168 times in high leverage situations and also on 125 occasions with runners on base. Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.7% out of their 180 inherited base runners. They rank 13th in the league with a save percentage of 63.9%, and they have sent 501 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Miami Marlins have turned 104 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in the majors). The Marlins have accrued 1,352 assists, 84 errors and have accumulated 4,225 putouts so far this year. In their 12,675 innings played, the Marlins have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.0% (14th in MLB).

Alcantara (51-67 career win-loss record) has a 3.66 ERA and has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.83 and he has gone up against 4,397 batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 434 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.177 and a FIP of 3.6. During his pro baseball career, Alcantara has conceded 928 hits while earning 928 punch outs in 1,067 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+125)

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