New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 8/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, August 9, 2025

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+126) Milwaukee (-152)

American Family Field is the location where the Milwaukee Brewers (70-44) will take on the New York Mets (63-52) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has New York at +126 while Milwaukee is sitting at -152. The total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Frankie Montas and Logan Henderson.

The Mets have compiled 180 doubles as a team and have smacked 140 baseballs out of the stadium. New York has a slugging percentage of .404 and have struck out 921 times, while taking a walk on 398 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 15th in MLB. They have accounted for 486 RBI's and 915 hits so far this season, and their average at the plate sits at .239. They have racked up 501 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .318.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.40 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.31. Mets pitchers have allowed 102 long balls and 466 total runs (8th in baseball). New York has conceded 927 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 417 earned runs. The Mets have a team earned run average of 3.67 this season (6th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 983 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 410 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.85 as a squad this season.

Mets relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 122 times and also have had 139 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 74 holds on the year (8th in baseball). The Mets relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 65.4% and have entered the game in 126 save situations. They have compiled 34 saves for the year and have blown 18 of their 52 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 180 runners on the campaign and 33.9% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have sent 375 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Mets have transformed 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,198 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 18th in baseball. The Minnesota Twins are sitting with 3,066 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,035 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which puts them in 11th in professional baseball, and have a total of 86 double plays.

Montas has taken the ball for 777 innings and is sitting with 789 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Montas (47-48 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.14 while he has gone up against 3,332 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.20 (363 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.320. He has surrendered 753 base knocks (8.7 hits per nine innings) with 273 free passes.

Milwaukee has a total of 114 home runs so far this season as well as 532 RBIs. They have 176 doubles, while getting a free base 387 times as well as putting up 570 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have tallied an OBP of .330 in addition to a team batting average of .257 this year. The Brewers hold a slugging percentage of .398 and they have an average of 5.00 runs per contest (4th in baseball). They have been rung up on 899 instances (23rd in the league) and have accounted for 992 base hits.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.239 in addition to having a FIP of 3.96 as a squad this season. They rank 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 876. The Milwaukee pitching staff have allowed 443 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.62 (408 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (988 strikeouts against 380 bases on balls). They have given up 121 homers and they allow 3.93 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB).

Milwaukee bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.0% of 155 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 127 times in high leverage situations and also on 102 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 126 save situations, the Brewers have accrued 79 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They rank 3rd in MLB holding a save percentage of 72.7%, and they have sent 390 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year. Milwaukee has had relief pitchers enter the game in 44 save opportunities and they have walked away with 32 saves.

In 9,129 innings played, the Brewers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (6th in pro baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 79 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB). The Brewers have recorded 915 assists, 53 errors and are sitting with 3,043 putouts for the season.

During his pro baseball career, Henderson has given up 17 base knocks while he has tallied 33 punch outs in 25 frames. He has conceded 5 ER's while earning a WHIP of 0.996 and a FIP of 1.8. His K/BB ratio is 4.13 and he has faced 99 opposing hitters in his career. Henderson (3-0 mark in his career) is the owner of a 1.79 earned run average and has conceded 6.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-152)

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