New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction, 5/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, May 16, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-144) New York (+120)

The New York Mets (28-16) are hitting the road to Yankee Stadium on Friday where they will try to defeat the New York Yankees (25-18). The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at -144 while the Yankees are sitting at +120. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tylor Megill and Carlos Rodon.

As a team, the New York Mets are scoring 4.7 runs per game, which puts them at 12th in baseball. They have racked up 205 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .332. The Mets have hit 77 doubles as a unit and have knocked 52 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 197 runs batted in as well as 371 base knocks this season, and their team batting average comes in at .253. New York is slugging .427 and have been called out on strikes 331 times, while being walked on 157 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.68 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. Mets pitchers have yielded 28 home runs and 140 runs (1st in MLB). New York has yielded 334 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 123 earned runs. The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 2.84 on the year (1st in the league), and the staff has struck out 400 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 149 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.25 as a team so far this season.

Mets pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 39 times as well as having 57 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 35 holds so far this season (4th in baseball). The Mets relievers have earned a save rate of 60.0% and have come into the game in 55 save situations. They have earned 12 saves on the season and have missed out on 8 of their 20 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 57 base runners for the year and 31.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have sent 142 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Minnesota Twins have earned 1,170 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 376 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which is 12th in baseball, and they have turned 32 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,510 innings, which has them sitting 18th in the majors.

Megill has taken the hill for 381 innings and has earned 398 K's in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.41 (187 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.379. He has surrendered 379 base hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 147 free passes. Megill (24-24 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.35 while going up against 1,659 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Yankees have a slugging percentage of .481 and they have an average of 5.81 runs per game (1st in the league). They have 82 doubles, while getting a free base 173 times and putting up 250 runs. New York has a total of 76 long balls so far this year as well as 241 RBIs. They have struck out on 392 instances (5th in MLB) and have recorded 388 hits. The New York Yankees hold an on-base percentage of .347 as well as a team batting average of .263 for the year.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 169 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.62 (153 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 39 home runs and they concede 4.00 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.182 and have a FIP of 3.64 as a pitching staff so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.50 (400 strikeouts vs 156 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 293.

New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 27.3% of 66 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 39 times in high leverage situations and on 46 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 42 save situations, the Yankees have compiled 25 holds and also 6 blown saves. They rank 14th in the league with a save percentage of 64.7%, and they have sent 138 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. New York has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 17 save opportunities and they have earned 11 saves.

The New York Yankees have gotten 26 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in professional baseball). The Yankees have recorded 355 assists, 22 errors and have 1,140 putouts for the year. In their 3,420 innings played, the Yankees are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.5% (1st in baseball).

During his MLB career, Rodon has allowed 986 base hits while totaling 1,273 punch outs in 1,140 innings pitched. He has conceded 485 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.236 and having a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.00 and he has faced 4,804 batters during his pro baseball career. Rodon (79-66 career mark) has earned a 3.83 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-144)

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