New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction, 5/17/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-132) New York (+110)

Yankee Stadium is the location where the New York Yankees (25-18) will try to defeat the New York Mets (28-16) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Mets at -132 while the Yankees are coming in at +110. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Griffin Canning and Clarke Schmidt.

As a squad, the New York Mets are notching 4.7 runs per contest, which puts them at 12th in the league. They have accumulated 205 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .332. The Mets have accrued 77 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 52 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 197 RBI's as well as 371 hits this season, while their average at the plate is .253. New York has a slugging percentage of .427 and have been rung up 331 times, while drawing a walk on 157 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.68 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Mets pitchers have given up 28 home runs and 140 total runs (1st in baseball). New York has yielded 334 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 123 earned runs. The Mets hold a team ERA of 2.84 over the course of the season (1st in MLB), and their staff has struck out 400 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 149 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.25 as a team so far this year.

Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 39 times in addition to having 57 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 35 holds for the year (4th in the league). The Mets relievers have earned a save rate of 60.0% and have come into the game in 55 save situations. They have recorded 12 saves for the year and have blown 8 of their 20 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 57 runners on the season and 31.6% of those players crossed home plate. The Mets have sent 142 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Minnesota Twins have earned 1,170 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 376 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which is 12th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 32 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.4% of balls in play into outs out of 3,510 innings, which has them sitting 18th in pro baseball.

Canning has taken the hill for 550 innings and is sitting with 525 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Canning (30-35 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.53 while facing 2,348 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.60 (281 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.327. He has given up 531 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 199 free passes.

New York has knocked in 76 home runs over the course of the season and 241 RBIs. They have 82 two-baggers, while walking 173 times as well as putting up 250 runs. The New York Yankees have an OBP of .347 and a batting average of .263 for the year. The Yankees have a team SLG% of .481 and they are recording 5.81 runs per contest (1st in the league). They have been rung up on 392 occasions (5th in baseball) and have recorded 388 hits.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.182 with a FIP of 3.64 as a unit this year. They are sitting at 2nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 293. The New York pitching staff have given up 169 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.62 (153 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.50 (400 strikeouts vs 156 walks). They have given up 39 homers and they give up 4.00 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB).

New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.3% of 66 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 39 times in high leverage situations in addition to 46 occasions with runners on base. With 42 save situations, the Yankees have earned 25 holds and also 6 blown saves. They sit at 14th in MLB with a save percentage of 64.7%, and they have dispatched 138 relievers to the hill on the season. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 17 save opportunities and they have recorded 11 saves.

Out of their 3,420 innings on the diamond, the Yankees have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.5% (1st in baseball). The New York Yankees have gotten 26 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in MLB). The Yankees have 355 assists, 22 errors and have earned 1,140 putouts this season.

Schmidt (20-21 career record) holds a 4.02 earned run average and has surrendered 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.78 and he has gone up against 1,465 batters in his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 152 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.313 and having a FIP of 4.0. In his MLB career, Schmidt has conceded 326 base knocks while he has earned 336 strikeouts in 340 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-132)

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