New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction, 5/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-122) New York (+102)

Yankee Stadium is the location where the New York Yankees (25-18) will attempt to beat the New York Mets (28-16) on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Mets at -122 and the Yankees are sitting at +102. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be David Peterson and Max Fried.

As a team, the New York Mets are knocking in 4.7 runs/g, which ranks them 12th in baseball. They have 205 runs scored and have an OBP of .332. The Mets have accrued 77 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 52 balls out of the park. They have amassed 197 RBI's and 371 hits so far this season, and their team batting average is at .253. New York has a slugging percentage of .427 and have struck out 331 times, while being walked on 157 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.68 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.24. Mets pitchers have conceded 28 home runs and also 140 runs (1st in baseball). New York has given up 334 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 123 earned runs. The Mets hold a team ERA of 2.84 this year (1st in baseball), and the staff has struck out 400 batters. They have walked 149 batters and their FIP is 3.24 as a team on the year.

Mets bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 39 times in addition to having 57 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 35 holds this season (4th in baseball). The Mets relief pitchers have a save percentage of 60.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 55 save situations. They have compiled 12 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 8 of their 20 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 57 runners this season with 31.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have dispatched 142 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Mets have turned 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,510 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 18th in baseball. The Minnesota Twins have a tally of 1,170 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 376 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which puts them in 12th in MLB, and they have turned 32 double plays.

Peterson has thrown 498 innings and has racked up 507 strikeouts during his MLB career. Peterson (30-26 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.93 while he has gone up against 2,141 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.99 (221 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.373. He has given up 471 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 213 walks.

New York has hit 76 home runs on the year to go along with 241 RBIs. They have put up 82 doubles, while getting a free base 173 times as well as notching 250 runs. The New York Yankees have an OBP of .347 in addition to a team batting average of .263 for the year. The Yankees have a team SLG% of .481 and they tally 5.81 runs per contest (2nd in the league). They have been rung up on 392 instances (5th in MLB) and have recorded 388 base knocks.

The New York pitching staff have conceded 169 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.62 (153 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 39 home runs and they allow 4.00 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.182 in addition to having a FIP of 3.63 as a staff for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.50 (400 strikeouts vs 156 walks). They rank 1st in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 293.

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.3% out of 66 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 39 times in high leverage situations and on 46 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 42 save situations, the Yankees have 25 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. They are ranked 14th in baseball with a save percentage of 64.7%, and they have sent 138 relievers to the mound this season. New York has had relief pitchers enter the game in 17 save chances and they have come away with 11 saves.

In 3,420 innings on the field, the Yankees are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.5% (3rd in the majors). The New York Yankees have gotten 26 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (15th in professional baseball). The Yankees have 355 assists, 22 errors and have 1,140 putouts for the season.

During his MLB career, Fried has allowed 823 hits and he has 915 K's in 940 innings. Fried (79-36 career mark) holds a 2.96 earned run average while giving up 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 309 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.151 and having a FIP of 2.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.53 and he has faced 3,842 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-122)

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