New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/22/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, June 22, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+125) Philadelphia (-145)

The New York Mets (45-30) are en route to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday where they will go up against the Philadelphia Phillies (45-30). The line on this matchup has the Mets at +125 while the Phillies are sitting at -145. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be David Peterson and Jesus Luzardo.

As a squad, the New York Mets are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which has them at 11th in the league. They have racked up 333 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .328. The Mets have compiled 122 doubles as a team and have knocked 93 balls out of the park. They have compiled 324 RBI's as well as 613 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .245. New York has a slugging % of .416 and have been called out on strikes 585 times, while drawing a walk on 272 occasions.

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The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 3.05 on the year (1st in the league), and their staff has struck out 652 batters. Mets pitchers have yielded 54 home runs and 265 total runs (2nd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 272 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.51 as a squad for the year. New York has conceded 571 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 227 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.40 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.26.

The Mets have dispatched 234 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 114 runners over the course of the season with 30.7% of those runners crossed home plate. They have recorded 22 saves so far this year and have missed out on 14 of their 36 save chances. The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 61.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 86 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 50 holds for the year (6th in MLB). Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 77 times and also have had 97 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have turned 70.1% of balls in play into outs in their 6,021 innings on the diamond, ranking them 15th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have notched a total of 2,007 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 678 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which puts them in 14th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 61 double plays.

Peterson (33-26 career record) has a FIP of 3.79 and he has gone up against 2,306 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 502 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 225 free passes. His earned run average is 3.85 (231 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.346. Peterson has taken the ball for 540 innings and has earned 538 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

Philadelphia has recorded 80 home runs so far this year to go along with 332 runs batted in. They have tallied 117 doubles, while getting a free base 264 times as well as putting up 348 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned a team OBP of .331 as well as a batting average of .256 for the year. The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .405 and they earn 4.64 runs per contest (9th in MLB). They have struck out on 584 occasions (24th in MLB) and have earned 653 base hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 314 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.87 (289 earned runs allowed). They have relinquished 75 dingers and they concede 4.21 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.278 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.54 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.30 (692 strikeouts vs 222 walks). They are sitting at 21st in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 637.

Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 39 save opportunities and they have walked away with 24 saves. They are currently ranked 18th in baseball with a save percentage of 61.5%, and they have sent 235 relievers to the hill on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have come in 85 times in high leverage situations and on 49 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score rate of 40.6% out of 69 inherited base runners. Sitting with 77 save situations, the Phillies have 37 holds and also 15 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 49 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in MLB). The Phillies have recorded 661 assists, 30 errors and have 2,016 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 6,048 innings on the field, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (24th in MLB).

So far in his pro baseball career, Luzardo has surrendered 553 hits while earning 656 strikeouts in 595 innings pitched. He has given up 285 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.279 and a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.15 and he has gone up against 2,507 opposing hitters in his career. Luzardo (32-37 career mark) has earned a 4.31 ERA while conceding 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-145)

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