New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/8/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Monday, September 8, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+102) Philadelphia (-122)

The Philadelphia Phillies (81-59) will try to defeat the New York Mets (75-65) at Citizens Bank Park on Monday. The moneyline on this game has New York at +102 while Philadelphia is priced at -122. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Sean Manaea and Aaron Nola.

The Mets have accumulated 231 doubles as a team and have hit 193 balls out of the stadium. New York has a slugging % of .431 and have been called out on strikes 1,114 times, while being walked on 497 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are scoring 4.8 runs per contest, which is 9th in MLB. They have accrued 658 RBI's in addition to 1,185 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is .251. They have notched a total of 674 runs scored and hold an OBP of .330.

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The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 3.91 for the year (13th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,203 batters. Mets pitchers have allowed 125 home runs and 605 total runs (15th in MLB). They have walked 493 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.86 as a team on the year. New York has surrendered 1,149 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) and 539 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.44 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.32.

Mets relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 151 times and also have had 166 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 86 holds this year (8th in the league). The Mets relievers have recorded a save percentage of 60.7% and stepped onto the hill in 147 save situations. They have earned 37 saves on the year and have blown 24 out of their 61 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 226 runners on the year and 34.1% of those players crossed home plate. The Mets have sent 458 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Mets have transformed 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,160 innings on the field, which has them ranked 24th in the majors. The Minnesota Twins have a tally of 3,720 putouts this season, in addition to 1,259 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which ranks 12th in MLB, and have a total of 105 double plays.

Manaea has taken the mound for 1,229 frames and is sitting with 1,168 strikeouts so far in his career. Manaea (78-64 career mark) has a FIP of 4.00 and he has faced 5,131 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.06 (555 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.203. He has allowed 1,135 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 344 walks.

The Philadelphia Phillies hold a team on-base percentage of .327 and a team batting average of .257 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 1,133 instances (20th in MLB) and have recorded 1,226 base knocks. Philadelphia is sitting with 172 long balls on the campaign and 640 RBIs. The Phillies hold a slugging % of .423 and they have an average of 4.75 runs per game (10th in the league). They have 231 doubles, while walking 459 times as well as scoring 665 runs.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.243 with a FIP of 3.68 as a squad this year. They rank 17th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,163. The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 565 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.83 (528 earned runs conceded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (1,278 strikeouts against 381 bases on balls). They have allowed 149 dingers and they surrender 4.09 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball).

Sitting with 134 save situations, the Phillies have compiled 69 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers take the mound in 62 save opportunities and they have tallied 39 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 154 times in high leverage situations in addition to 93 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score percentage of 33.8% out of 136 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 13th in MLB holding a save rate of 62.9%, and they have dispatched 438 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 91 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in baseball). The Phillies have accrued 1,200 assists, 53 errors and have a total of 3,727 putouts over the course of the season. In their 11,181 innings played, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (25th in baseball).

During his career, Nola has given up 1,504 hits while he has accumulated 1,851 K's in 1,690 frames. Nola (107-87 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.83 earned run average while giving up 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 719 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.153 and a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.17 and he has faced 6,941 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-122)

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