New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 6/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, June 28, 2025

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-160) Pittsburgh (+132)

The New York Mets (47-34) are hitting the road to PNC Park on Saturday where they will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (32-50). The line on this matchup has the Mets at -160 and the Pirates are coming in at +132. The betting total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers will be Paul Blackburn and Bailey Falter.

The Mets have recorded 127 doubles as a squad and have knocked 107 baseballs out of the stadium. New York is slugging .420 and have been rung up 636 times, while being walked on 285 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which puts them at 13th in MLB. They have tallied 351 runs batted in and 663 hits on the season, and their team batting average is .245. They have tallied 360 runs and have an on-base percentage of .325.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.33 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29. Mets pitchers have surrendered 59 home runs in addition to 299 total runs (6th in MLB). New York has conceded 625 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 260 earned runs. The Mets hold a team ERA of 3.25 on the season (1st in MLB), and their staff has rung up 704 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 302 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.57 as a squad this season.

The Mets bullpen have compiled a save rate of 60.5% and have entered the game in 90 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 131 runners on the year and 32.8% of those players earned a run for their team. Mets relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 86 times as well as having 102 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 258 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 52 holds so far this season (8th in baseball). They have recorded 23 saves on the year and have blown 15 of their 38 save chances.

The Mets have converted 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,489 innings, ranking them 17th in MLB. The Minnesota Twins have a tally of 2,163 putouts this year, as well as 732 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which puts them in 11th in the majors, and they have turned 65 double plays.

Blackburn has pitched in 445 innings and has 342 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.93 (244 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.422. He has conceded 494 hits (10.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 139 free passes. Blackburn (22-30 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 4.86 while he has faced 1,934 batters during his time in the majors.

The Pirates have a slugging percentage of .337 and they are scoring 3.26 runs per game (30th in MLB). They have 103 doubles, while getting a free base 265 times as well as putting up 267 runs. Pittsburgh has accumulated 55 long balls so far this season to go along with 257 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 721 instances (4th in the league) and have earned 619 base hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned a team OBP of .302 in addition to a team batting average of .228 this season.

The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.212 with a FIP of 3.83 as a pitching staff this year. They are sitting at 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 631. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have yielded 335 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.87 (312 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.50 (603 strikeouts vs 249 walks). They have conceded 71 homers and they allow 4.15 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball).

Pittsburgh has called on relievers to take the mound in 32 save chances and they have recorded 17 saves. They are ranked 26th in the league holding a save percentage of 53.1%, and they have dispatched 259 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year. Their relief pitchers have come in 85 times in high leverage situations in addition to 78 occasions with base runners. Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.8% out of 123 inherited base runners. With 74 save situations, the Pirates have tallied 40 holds and also 15 blown saves.

In their 6,537 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (4th in the majors). The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 69 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in MLB). The Pirates have racked up 724 assists, 40 errors and have notched a total of 2,179 putouts this year.

In his career, Falter has given up 421 base hits and he has 316 punch outs in 425 innings pitched. He has allowed 209 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.270 and having a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.66 and he has gone up against 1,767 batters thus far in his career. Falter (24-26 career win-loss record) holds a 4.42 earned run average while conceding 8.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+132)

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