New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, July 29, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-144) San Diego (+120)

The New York Mets (62-44) are on their way to Petco Park on Tuesday where they will meet the San Diego Padres (57-49). The odds on this game have the Mets at -144 and the Padres are coming in at +120. The total is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Sean Manaea and Yu Darvish.

As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 14th in the league. They have accounted for 461 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. The Mets have accumulated 165 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 131 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 448 runs batted in and 847 hits this season, while their batting average is sitting at .242. New York owns a slugging percentage of .411 and have been called out on strikes 834 times, while drawing a walk on 364 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.39 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30. Mets pitchers have allowed 90 long balls in addition to 408 runs in total (5th in MLB). New York has relinquished 834 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 365 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 3.52 so far this season (3rd in the league), and their staff has rung up 897 hitters. They have walked 375 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.77 as a unit on the season.

The Mets have dispatched 337 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 171 runners on the year and 33.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 33 saves this season and have missed out on 18 of 51 save opportunities. The Mets relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 64.7% and have entered the game in 120 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 69 holds for the season (7th in baseball). Mets pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 114 times in addition to having 128 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have transformed 69.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,391 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 14th in the majors. The Minnesota Twins have notched a total of 2,797 putouts for the season, as well as 957 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which has them sitting 10th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 83 double plays.

Manaea (78-63 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.93 while going up against 4,983 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,096 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 339 free passes. His earned run average is 3.99 (530 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.200. Manaea has taken the hill for 1,196 innings and has totaled 1,127 punch outs so far in his MLB career.

The San Diego Padres have recorded an OBP of .315 and a batting average of .247 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 739 occasions (28th in the league) and have recorded 862 hits. San Diego has recorded 88 home runs this year as well as 390 RBIs. The Padres have a team slugging % of .376 and they are scoring 3.97 runs per outing (25th in MLB). They have notched 161 two-baggers, while getting a free base 329 times and scoring 417 runs.

The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 404 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.60 (370 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 103 homers and they yield 3.93 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.229 and have a FIP of 3.89 as a pitching staff this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (883 strikeouts against 345 walks). They are currently ranked 3rd in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 793.

With 122 save situations, the Padres have accumulated 71 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. San Diego has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 48 save opportunities and they have tallied 36 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 152 times in high leverage situations and on 125 occasions with runners on. San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 29.1% of 175 inherited runners. They sit at 1st in MLB with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 367 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The San Diego Padres have turned 79 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (19th in baseball). The Padres have accrued 802 assists, 52 errors and have accumulated 2,778 putouts so far this season. Out of their 8,334 innings played, the Padres have a efficiency on defense of 71.2% (5th in baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Darvish has allowed 1,415 base knocks and he has 2,018 strikeouts in 1,722 innings pitched. Darvish (110-91 record in his career) has earned a 3.63 ERA and has conceded 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 695 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.143 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.65 and he has faced 7,089 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-144)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here