New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 5/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-150) St. Louis (+125)

The St. Louis Cardinals (14-17) will compete against the New York Mets (21-10) at Busch Stadium on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Mets at -150 and the Cardinals are sitting at +125. The betting total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Tylor Megill and Erick Fedde.

As a unit, the New York Mets are notching 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have tallied 148 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .325. The Mets have accumulated 58 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 34 baseballs out of the park. They have 142 runs batted in as well as 255 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average is .246. New York has a slugging rate of .416 and have been called out on strikes 226 times, while taking a walk on 109 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.95 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.21. Mets pitchers have surrendered 14 home runs in addition to 94 runs (2nd in the league). New York has surrendered 235 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 81 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 2.64 so far this season (1st in baseball), and their staff has struck out 292 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 99 opposing batters and their FIP is 2.82 as a squad so far this season.

The Mets bullpen have recorded a save rate of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 44 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 41 runners this season with 29.3% of them earned a run for their team. Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 29 times in addition to having 44 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 101 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relievers have notched 29 holds for the season (2nd in baseball). They have compiled 10 saves for the year and have blown 5 of their 15 chances to save the game.

The Mets have turned 68.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,484 innings on the field, ranking them 21st in baseball. The Minnesota Twins have earned 828 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 268 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .990 which puts them in 2nd in pro baseball, and they have turned 23 double plays.

Megill has taken the mound for 372 frames and has earned 385 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.33 (179 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.371. He has given up 368 base knocks (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 142 walks. Megill (24-23 career record) holds a FIP of 4.26 while facing 1,614 hitters in the majors.

The St. Louis Cardinals have accounted for an on-base percentage of .333 as well as a team batting average of .260 for the year. They have struck out on 240 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have accounted for 279 hits. St. Louis has compiled 30 home runs this year and 139 runs batted in. The Cardinals hold a team SLG% of .405 and they earn 4.71 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have recorded 63 doubles, while taking a walk 111 times and racking up 146 runs.

The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.221 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.73 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.00 (214 strikeouts vs 91 walks). They are currently ranked 17th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 245. They have allowed 24 long balls and they allow 4.45 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The St. Louis pitching staff have relinquished 136 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.09 (125 earned runs conceded).

St. Louis has had relievers step onto the mound in 13 save opportunities and they have earned 6 saves. They rank 27th in MLB holding a save rate of 46.2%, and they have sent 99 relievers to the hill this season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 43 times in high leverage situations in addition to 33 occasions with runners on. St. Louis relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 42.1% out of their 38 inherited runners. With 34 save situations, the Cardinals have compiled 21 holds and also 7 blown saves.

In 2,481 innings on the field, the Cardinals have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (7th in the majors). The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 20 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in MLB). The Cardinals have accrued 310 assists, 11 errors and have accumulated 827 putouts so far this season.

During his pro baseball career, Fedde has allowed 683 hits while he has totaled 523 punch outs in 663 frames. He has given up 355 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.420 and a FIP of 4.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.02 and he has faced 2,874 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. Fedde (31-45 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.82 earned run average while allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-150)

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