New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/20/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, July 20, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-144) Atlanta (+120)

Truist Park is where the Atlanta Braves (42-53) will take on the New York Yankees (53-43) on Sunday. The odds on this game have New York at -144 while Atlanta opens at +120. The total has been set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Carlos Rodon and Grant Holmes.

New York has a slugging rate of .455 and have been called out on strikes 842 times, while being walked on 373 occasions. They have accounted for 480 RBI's as well as 836 hits this year, and their batting average is sitting at .256. The Yankees have hit 170 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 151 baseballs out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 501 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .336. As a unit, the New York Yankees are putting up 5.2 runs/g, which has them sitting at 3rd in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.69 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.21. Yankees pitchers have conceded 104 home runs and 390 runs in total (12th in the league). New York has relinquished 712 base hits (7.5 per 9 innings) as well as 361 earned runs. The Yankees have an ERA of 3.82 on the campaign (13th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 859 batters. They have walked 319 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.89 as a team over the course of the season.

The Yankees relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 71.4% and have come into the game in 89 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 156 runners for the season with 25.6% of them ended up scoring. Yankees pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 103 times in addition to having 91 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 314 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have accumulated 53 holds over the course of the season (17th in MLB). They have recorded 25 saves this season and have not converted 10 of their 35 chances to save the game.

The New York Mets have a total of 2,549 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 812 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them ranked 13th in the majors, and have a total of 61 double plays. The Yankees have turned 71.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,647 innings, which has them sitting 3rd in MLB.

Rodon has taken the ball for 1,205 innings and has racked up 1,341 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.78 (506 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.225. He has surrendered 1,032 base hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) with 445 walks. Rodon (85-69 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.72 and he has gone up against 5,067 batters during his time in the major leagues.

Atlanta has 105 home runs for the season as well as 375 runs batted in. They have tallied 136 doubles, while taking a walk 320 times and recording 388 runs. The Atlanta Braves have an OBP of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .243 for the season. The Braves hold a team slugging percentage of .388 and they score 4.08 runs per contest (23rd in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 819 instances (13th in the league) and have 784 base hits.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.244 in addition to having a FIP of 3.91 as a staff for the season. They rank 5th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 737. The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 386 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 3.88 (362 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.40 (878 strikeouts vs 308 bases on balls). They have given up 109 home runs and they yield 4.13 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball).

Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.9% out of their 129 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 95 times in high leverage situations in addition to 97 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 63 save situations, the Braves have 35 holds and also 14 blown saves. They are currently ranked 27th in the league with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have sent 301 relievers to the mound on the campaign. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 28 save opportunities and they have come away with 14 saves.

In their 7,566 innings on the diamond, the Braves have a efficiency on defense of 70.4% (12th in pro baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 64 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .990 (2nd in baseball). The Braves have recorded 815 assists, 33 errors and are sitting with 2,522 putouts so far this year.

In his pro baseball career, Holmes has surrendered 153 hits while he has earned 189 punch outs in 173 innings pitched. Holmes (6-9 career mark) has earned a 3.69 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 71 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.259 and having a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.91 and he has faced 725 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+120)

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