New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 4/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) Baltimore (+106)

The Baltimore Orioles (11-17) welcome the New York Yankees (17-12) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Yankees at -128 while the Orioles are coming in at +106. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Carlos Carrasco and Cade Povich.

As a squad, the New York Yankees are compiling 5.5 runs per outing, which puts them at 2nd in baseball. They have earned a total of 158 runs while having a team OBP of .347. The Yankees have accumulated 52 doubles as a squad and have hit 45 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 153 RBI's and 257 base knocks on the season, while their batting average comes in at .263. New York has a slugging rate of .462 and have been called out on strikes 279 times, while drawing a walk on 115 occasions.

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The Yankees are sitting with a team ERA of 3.72 so far this year (11th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 260 batters. Yankees pitchers have given up 27 home runs and also 117 runs (11th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 115 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.83 as a squad over the course of the season. New York has given up 191 base hits (6.8 per 9 innings) and 105 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.26 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.20.

The Yankees relief pitchers have a save percentage of 75.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 31 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 44 base runners over the course of the season with 15.9% of them ended up scoring. Yankees bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 32 times as well as having 23 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 92 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have accumulated 19 holds on the campaign (9th in the league). They have recorded 9 saves so far this season and have blown 3 of their 12 save opportunities.

The Yankees have turned 73.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,286 innings, which has them ranked 3rd in MLB. The New York Mets have earned a total of 762 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 246 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which has them ranked 14th in professional baseball, and have a total of 18 double plays.

Carrasco has taken the ball for 1,666 frames and has totaled 1,679 K's so far in his career. Carrasco (112-104 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.10 and he has faced 6,970 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.16 (771 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.259. He has surrendered 1,638 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 460 free passes.

The Baltimore Orioles hold a team OBP of .298 as well as a batting average of .224 on the year. They have been rung up on 242 occasions (13th in the league) and have earned 204 hits. Baltimore has recorded 34 home runs on the campaign to go along with 104 RBIs. The Orioles have a team slugging percentage of .383 and they are earning 4.00 runs per contest (20th in MLB). They have tallied 34 two-baggers, while taking a walk 82 times as well as putting up 112 runs.

The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 150 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 5.24 (141 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 33 home runs and they relinquish 5.58 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Orioles are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.550 in addition to having a FIP of 4.55 as a pitching staff so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 7.50 (201 strikeouts against 102 free passes). They come in at 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 273.

Baltimore has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 5 save chances and they have recorded 4 saves. They are currently ranked 3rd in baseball holding a save percentage of 80.0%, and they have dispatched 97 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 21 times in high leverage situations and on 34 occasions with base runners. Baltimore bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 23.3% out of 43 inherited runners. With 25 save situations, the Orioles have accrued 18 holds and also 1 blown save.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 26 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in baseball). The Orioles have accrued 248 assists, 14 errors and have notched a total of 726 putouts so far this year. In 2,178 innings on the field, the Orioles are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 66.1% (29th in pro baseball).

During his MLB career, Povich has surrendered 114 base hits while tallying 92 K's in 104 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 60 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.507 and a FIP of 5.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.14 and he has faced 466 opposing hitters in his career. Povich (4-11 career mark) has a 5.18 ERA and has given up 9.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-128)

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