New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Thursday, September 18, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Baltimore (+125)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the site where the Baltimore Orioles (71-80) will attempt to defeat the New York Yankees (84-67) on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has New York at -145 while Baltimore is coming in at +125. The over/under is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Cade Povich.

New York owns a slugging percentage of .453 and have struck out 1,351 times, while being walked on 586 occasions. They have 757 runs batted in and 1,275 hits so far this year, while their team batting average is .250. The Yankees have accumulated 239 doubles as a unit and have hit 255 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 784 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .329. As a squad, the New York Yankees are notching 5.2 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 1st in the league.

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The Yankees have an ERA of 4.05 so far this season (17th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,335 batters. Yankees pitchers have given up 166 long balls and 661 runs in total (18th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 526 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.06 as a unit for the season. New York has conceded 1,178 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 604 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.54 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

Yankees relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 159 times as well as having 154 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have recorded 93 holds over the course of the season (7th in the league). The Yankees relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 66.1% and have come into the game in 157 save situations. They have earned 41 saves so far this season and have missed out on 21 out of their 62 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 243 runners over the course of the season and 28.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Yankees have dispatched 498 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Yankees have turned 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,066 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 10th in baseball. The New York Mets have amassed 4,022 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,307 assists and 87 errors. Their fielding rate is at .984 which has them sitting 24th in baseball, and they have turned 102 double plays.

Fried (90-41 career mark) has a FIP of 3.02 and he has gone up against 4,363 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 940 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 294 walks. His ERA is 3.07 (363 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.158. Fried has thrown 1,065 frames and is sitting with 1,032 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The Baltimore Orioles have earned an OBP of .307 as well as a team batting average of .239 for the season. They have struck out on 1,342 occasions (4th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,214 hits. Baltimore has tallied 179 home runs so far this season and 614 RBIs. The Orioles have a team slugging percentage of .400 and they earn 4.28 runs per game (19th in baseball). They have put up 242 two-baggers, while getting a free base 444 times and scoring 647 runs.

The Orioles are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.373 and have a FIP of 4.43 as a pitching staff on the year. They rank 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,345. The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 737 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.62 (685 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.40 (1,247 strikeouts against 488 free passes). They have given up 201 home runs and they relinquish 4.97 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB).

Sitting with 161 save situations, the Orioles have 101 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. Baltimore has had relievers take the mound in 56 save chances and they have recorded 36 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 160 times in high leverage situations and also on 147 occasions with runners on. Baltimore relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.3% of 205 inherited runners. They rank 12th in the league holding a save percentage of 64.3%, and they have dispatched 505 bullpen pitchers onto the field this season.

In their 12,021 innings played, the Orioles have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.4% (26th in the majors). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 112 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in professional baseball). The Orioles have racked up 1,332 assists, 83 errors and have notched a total of 4,007 putouts over the course of the season.

Povich (6-16 mark in his career) has earned a 5.14 earned run average and has surrendered 9.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.51 and he has gone up against 793 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. He has conceded 103 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.447 and a FIP of 5.1. So far in his MLB career, Povich has given up 190 hits while accumulating 178 strikeouts in 180 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Baltimore (+125) and under 9 runs

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