New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/20/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-144) Baltimore (+120)

The Baltimore Orioles (72-80) are welcoming the New York Yankees (85-67) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has New York at -144 and Baltimore is sitting at +120. The over/under is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Carlos Rodon and Tomoyuki Sugano.

New York has a slugging % of .455 and have struck out 1,359 times, while drawing a walk on 589 occasions. They have 766 RBI's and 1,287 hits on the campaign, and their batting average is at .250. The Yankees have accounted for 243 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 258 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 794 runs scored and have an OBP of .330. As a team, the New York Yankees are scoring 5.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 1st in MLB.

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The Yankees are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.05 this season (18th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,343 hitters. Yankees pitchers have given up 166 home runs and also 666 runs in total (16th in baseball). They have walked 528 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.05 as a team this season. New York has surrendered 1,189 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 608 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.54 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Yankees have dispatched 502 relievers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 245 runners so far this year and 28.2% of those players crossed home plate. They have earned 41 saves so far this year and have not converted 21 of their 62 save opportunities. The Yankees relievers have earned a save percentage of 66.1% and have come into the game in 159 save situations. The relievers have 95 holds so far this year (7th in the league). Yankees relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 160 times in addition to having 156 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have turned 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,147 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 12th in professional baseball. The New York Mets have accumulated 4,049 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,316 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which has them sitting 24th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 104 double plays.

Rodon has thrown 1,268 innings and has 1,396 strikeouts in his career. Rodon (91-72 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.69 and he has gone up against 5,328 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.75 (528 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.224. He has allowed 1,077 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 475 free passes.

Baltimore has tallied 180 HRs on the year as well as 617 runs batted in. They have put up 243 doubles, while getting a free base 449 times as well as scoring 650 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have an on-base percentage of .307 and a team batting average of .239 over the course of the season. The Orioles have a team slugging percentage of .400 and they average 4.28 runs per game (19th in the league). They have struck out on 1,354 occasions (4th in baseball) and have 1,221 hits.

The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 738 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 4.59 (686 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 202 homers and they allow 4.94 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball). The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.367 in addition to having a FIP of 4.42 as a pitching staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (1,253 strikeouts vs 488 walks). They sit at 27th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,350.

Baltimore relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.3% out of 205 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 163 times in high leverage situations and on 147 occasions with runners on. With 164 save situations, the Orioles have earned 103 holds and 20 blown saves. They rank 10th in the league with a save rate of 64.9%, and they have dispatched 508 relievers onto the field for the season. Baltimore has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 57 save chances and they have earned 37 saves.

In 12,102 innings on the diamond, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (26th in pro baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 113 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in baseball). The Orioles have accrued 1,336 assists, 83 errors and have earned a total of 4,034 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Sugano has conceded 162 hits and he has 100 strikeouts in 149 innings pitched. Sugano (10-8 career record) has a 4.40 earned run average and has surrendered 9.8 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 73 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.320 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.86 and he has gone up against 640 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+120)

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