New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-144) Boston (+120)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (81-66) will attempt to beat the New York Yankees (81-65) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Yankees at -144 while the Red Sox are priced at +120. The total comes in at 8. The starting pitchers are Will Warren and Garrett Crochet.

New York is slugging .455 and have been called out on strikes 1,302 times, while being walked on 569 occasions. They have tallied 734 runs batted in in addition to 1,231 base knocks on the year, and their batting average is sitting at .249. The Yankees have accrued 230 doubles as a team and have hit 249 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 761 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .330. As a squad, the New York Yankees are scoring 5.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 1st in baseball.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27. Yankees pitchers have conceded 158 long balls and also 635 runs in total (16th in baseball). New York has surrendered 1,136 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 578 earned runs. The Yankees have an ERA of 4.01 this season (16th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,295 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 510 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.03 as a squad so far this season.

Yankees bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 155 times and also have had 148 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 88 holds on the year (9th in baseball). The Yankees relief pitchers have a save percentage of 64.4% and have come into the game in 148 save situations. They have compiled 38 saves this year and have blown 21 out of their 59 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 237 base runners on the season and 28.3% of them crossed the plate. The Yankees have dispatched 480 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Yankees have turned 70.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,679 innings, which has them sitting at 10th in the majors. The New York Mets have a tally of 3,893 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,259 assists and 84 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which puts them in 23rd in professional baseball, and have accumulated 97 double plays.

Warren has taken the hill for 169 innings and has accumulated 187 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Warren (8-9 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.98 while he has gone up against 750 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 5.05 (95 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.430. He has conceded 171 base hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 71 walks.

The Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .425 and they average 4.94 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have recorded 300 doubles, while taking a walk 470 times and scoring 726 runs. Boston has hit 173 home runs so far this year to go along with 692 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,293 occasions (7th in MLB) and have totaled 1,284 hits. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an on-base percentage of .324 and a batting average of .254 on the year.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.291 with a FIP of 4.02 as a staff this season. They are currently ranked 20th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,217. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 619 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.74 (546 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 8.30 (1,218 strikeouts against 479 walks). They have conceded 150 dingers and they concede 4.24 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.3% out of 195 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 173 times in high leverage situations and also on 143 occasions with runners on. With 147 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 78 holds and 26 blown saves. They rank 20th in the league with a save percentage of 61.2%, and they have dispatched 483 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Boston has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 67 save opportunities and they have converted 41 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 119 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have 1,335 assists, 105 errors and have amassed 3,943 putouts this season. Out of their 11,829 innings played, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (22nd in baseball).

Crochet (24-24 mark in his career) holds a 2.96 ERA while surrendering 7.4 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.54 and he has faced 1,650 batters in his career. He has allowed 133 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.109 and having a FIP of 2.9. So far in his MLB career, Crochet has allowed 333 base hits while he has earned 522 strikeouts in 404 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+120)

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