New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 8/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025

Location: Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Chicago Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-210) Chicago (+172)

The New York Yankees (72-60) are traveling to Rate Field on Thursday where they will meet the Chicago White Sox (48-84). The odds on this game have New York at -210 while Chicago is sitting at +172. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Will Warren and Davis Martin.

As a unit, the New York Yankees are scoring 5.2 runs per game, which ranks them 2nd in the league. They have a total of 681 runs scored while having a team OBP of .330. The Yankees have hit 211 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 219 balls out of the park. They have recorded 656 runs batted in in addition to 1,118 base knocks so far this year, while their average at the plate is at .250. New York is slugging .453 and have struck out 1,153 times, while being walked on 511 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.53 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27. Yankees pitchers have conceded 145 home runs and 571 runs in total (16th in the league). New York has allowed 1,017 base knocks (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 521 earned runs. The Yankees hold a team earned run average of 4.00 so far this year (17th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,181 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 467 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.03 as a team for the season.

The Yankees relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 64.2% and have entered the game in 134 save situations. The relievers have inherited 220 runners on the year and 26.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. Yankees bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 144 times in addition to having 133 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 440 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen have 80 holds on the season (10th in MLB). They have recorded 34 saves for the season and have not converted 19 out of their 53 save opportunities.

The New York Mets have amassed 3,515 putouts for the season, as well as 1,135 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .984 which puts them in 23rd in MLB, and have accumulated 89 double plays. The Yankees have turned 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,545 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 9th in pro baseball.

Warren has pitched in 153 innings and has accumulated 175 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 5.35 (91 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.482. He has surrendered 159 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has 68 walks. Warren (7-9 record in his career) has a FIP of 5.27 and he has faced 686 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The White Sox hold a team slugging % of .374 and they earn 3.96 runs per game (26th in baseball). They have recorded 200 two-baggers, while taking a walk 416 times and putting up 523 runs. Chicago has tallied 132 long balls this season and 504 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,091 occasions (17th in baseball) and have 1,023 base hits. The Chicago White Sox have recorded a team OBP of .303 as well as a team batting average of .234 so far this season.

The White Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.358 in addition to having a FIP of 4.43 as a unit on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 7.90 (1,006 strikeouts vs 479 walks). They come in at 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,084. They have yielded 144 homers and they yield 4.61 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league). The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 589 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.14 (529 earned runs given up).

Chicago has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 37 save opportunities and they have walked away with 17 saves. They rank 30th in MLB holding a save rate of 45.9%, and they have dispatched 417 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 114 times in high leverage situations and also on 126 occasions with runners on. Chicago bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.6% out of 187 inherited base runners. Sitting with 91 save situations, the White Sox have earned 54 holds and also 20 blown saves.

The Chicago White Sox have gotten 106 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in pro baseball). The White Sox have accrued 1,073 assists, 82 errors and have accounted for 3,454 putouts for the season. Out of their 10,362 innings played, the White Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (17th in baseball).

In his career, Martin has surrendered 220 hits while tallying 175 punch outs in 225 innings pitched. He has allowed 107 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.319 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.27 and he has gone up against 957 opposing hitters in his MLB career. Martin (8-20 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.28 ERA and has given up 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+172)

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