New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 8/31/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Sunday, August 31, 2025

Location: Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Chicago Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) Chicago (+162)

Rate Field is the site where the Chicago White Sox (48-86) will attempt to defeat the New York Yankees (74-60) on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Yankees at -196 while the White Sox are sitting at +162. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Luis Gil and Martin Perez.

As a team, the New York Yankees are notching 5.2 runs per outing, which ranks them 1st in the league. They have accumulated 702 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .332. The Yankees have compiled 215 doubles as a squad and have knocked 228 balls out of the park. They have 676 RBI's in addition to 1,143 base knocks this season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .252. New York is slugging .458 and have been rung up 1,175 times, while taking a walk on 519 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.54 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.26. Yankees pitchers have given up 147 home runs in addition to 577 total runs (16th in baseball). New York has allowed 1,028 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 523 earned runs. The Yankees hold a team earned run average of 3.96 for the year (15th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,197 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 471 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.02 as a team so far this year.

The Yankees have dispatched 445 relievers to the hill on the season. The relievers have inherited 220 base runners for the year with 26.4% of them crossed the plate. They have accumulated 34 saves on the season and have blown 19 out of their 53 save opportunities. The Yankees bullpen have earned a save rate of 64.2% and have entered the game in 136 save situations. The relievers have 82 holds for the year (9th in MLB). Yankees relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 144 times and also have had 134 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have notched a total of 3,542 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,148 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which is 21st in the majors, and have accumulated 90 double plays. The Yankees have converted 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 10,626 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 9th in the majors.

Gil (18-9 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.52 while he has gone up against 892 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 153 hits (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 115 free passes. His earned run average is 3.57 (83 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.282. Gil has pitched in 209 innings and has 236 K's so far in his pro baseball career.

Chicago has compiled 134 HRs on the campaign to go along with 509 RBIs. They have notched 200 doubles, while walking 421 times as well as scoring 528 runs. The Chicago White Sox have compiled an OBP of .302 and a team batting average of .233 so far this season. The White Sox hold a slugging % of .373 and they score 3.94 runs per contest (26th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,106 occasions (15th in baseball) and have a total of 1,035 base knocks.

The White Sox have a team WHIP of 1.368 and have a FIP of 4.46 as a pitching staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.90 (1,021 strikeouts against 487 walks). They sit at 19th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,112. They have relinquished 149 long balls and they concede 4.70 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Chicago pitching staff have given up 611 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.23 (549 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 91 save situations, the White Sox have accumulated 54 holds and also 20 blown saves. Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 37 save opportunities and they have walked away with 17 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 115 times in high leverage situations and also on 129 occasions with runners on. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.5% out of their 191 inherited base runners. They sit at 30th in the league with a save percentage of 45.9%, and they have dispatched 424 relievers onto the field on the campaign.

Out of their 10,443 innings played, the White Sox have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (18th in pro baseball). The Chicago White Sox have turned 106 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in the majors). The White Sox have recorded 1,079 assists, 82 errors and have earned a total of 3,481 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his MLB career, Perez has given up 1,731 base hits while he has accumulated 1,141 punch outs in 1,610 innings pitched. Perez (91-90 career win-loss record) has a 4.39 earned run average and has given up 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 786 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.436 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.96 and he has faced 6,982 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-196)

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