New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, 9/2/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Houston Astros

Date: Tuesday, September 2, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Houston (+125)

Daikin Park is the location where the Houston Astros (75-61) will take on the New York Yankees (76-60) on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has the Yankees at -145 while the Astros are at +125. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Max Fried and Framber Valdez.

New York has a slugging % of .457 and have struck out 1,200 times, while taking a walk on 533 occasions. They have accrued 690 runs batted in and 1,156 hits this season, and their batting average sits at .251. The Yankees have compiled 218 doubles as a unit and have hit 232 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 717 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .331. As a team, the New York Yankees are earning 5.3 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 1st in the league.

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The Yankees have a team earned run average of 3.92 over the course of the season (15th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,217 batters. Yankees pitchers have conceded 147 long balls in addition to 582 total runs (16th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 475 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.99 as a squad for the season. New York has conceded 1,048 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 527 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.26.

The Yankees relievers have a save percentage of 63.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 138 save situations. The relievers have inherited 220 runners so far this season and 26.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. Yankees relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 145 times as well as having 138 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 452 relievers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers are sitting with 82 holds this season (10th in the league). They have recorded 35 saves for the season and have missed out on 20 of 55 save opportunities.

The New York Mets have a tally of 3,629 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,166 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which ranks 21st in pro baseball, and have a total of 91 double plays. The Yankees have transformed 70.6% of balls in play into outs out of 10,887 innings on the field, ranking them 9th in baseball.

Fried (87-41 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.03 while going up against 4,281 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 921 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 288 walks. His earned run average is 3.07 (357 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.156. Fried has pitched in 1,046 innings and has tallied 1,017 K's during his pro baseball career.

The Astros have a SLG% of .401 and they score 4.21 runs per contest (22nd in the league). They have recorded 205 two-baggers, while getting a free base 401 times as well as scoring 572 runs. Houston has 151 home runs so far this year as well as 547 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,070 instances (25th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,165 hits. The Houston Astros have accumulated an OBP of .319 in addition to a team batting average of .253 this year.

The Houston pitching staff have relinquished 554 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.83 (516 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 162 homers and they concede 4.12 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Astros have a WHIP of 1.220 and have a FIP of 3.92 as a staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.60 (1,287 strikeouts against 426 walks). They rank 5th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,052.

With 134 save situations, the Astros have accumulated 77 holds and also 14 blown saves. Houston has had relievers enter the contest in 54 save opportunities and they have recorded 40 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 145 times in high leverage situations and on 106 occasions with runners on. Houston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 23.8% out of 147 inherited runners. They sit at 2nd in baseball with a save percentage of 74.1%, and they have sent 432 relief pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

The Houston Astros have turned 90 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in the majors). The Astros have racked up 1,082 assists, 57 errors and have notched a total of 3,635 putouts for the season. In 10,905 innings played, the Astros have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.5% (10th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Valdez has allowed 880 base hits and he has 1,024 K's in 1,052 innings. Valdez (80-48 career mark) has a 3.28 ERA while allowing 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 384 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.195 and having a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.72 and he has gone up against 4,356 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-145)

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