New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, 9/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Houston Astros

Date: Wednesday, September 3, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) Houston (+106)

The New York Yankees (76-61) are traveling to Daikin Park on Wednesday where they will try to defeat the Houston Astros (76-62). The odds on this game have New York at -128 while Houston is at +106. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Will Warren and Jason Alexander.

New York has a slugging % of .456 and have been called out on strikes 1,210 times, while drawing a walk on 539 occasions. They have compiled 692 runs batted in and 1,162 hits on the season, while their average at the plate sits at .250. The Yankees have hit 220 doubles as a squad and have hit 233 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 719 runs and have an OBP of .331. As a team, the New York Yankees are scoring 5.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 1st in MLB.

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The Yankees hold a team earned run average of 3.92 on the campaign (15th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,226 batters. Yankees pitchers have yielded 149 home runs in addition to 585 runs in total (15th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 477 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.00 as a unit so far this season. New York has allowed 1,053 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 530 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.26.

The Yankees bullpen have earned a save rate of 63.6% and stepped onto the hill in 138 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 221 runners on the campaign and 26.2% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Yankees bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 146 times and also have had 140 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 454 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have recorded 82 holds for the year (10th in the league). They have 35 saves for the season and have blown 20 of 55 save opportunities.

The Yankees have converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,959 innings on the field, which ranks them 8th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have a total of 3,653 putouts this year, as well as 1,172 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which ranks 21st in pro baseball, and have 92 double plays.

Warren has taken the hill for 158 frames and has earned 178 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 5.18 (91 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.479. He has surrendered 164 base hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 70 free passes. Warren (8-9 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 5.10 and he has gone up against 710 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Astros hold a team slugging % of .401 and they score 4.20 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have hit 210 doubles, while taking a walk 409 times and racking up 580 runs. Houston has tallied 153 home runs on the campaign to go along with 555 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,089 instances (24th in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,179 base knocks. The Houston Astros have recorded a team OBP of .319 in addition to a team batting average of .253 over the course of the season.

The Houston pitching staff have surrendered 560 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.82 (522 earned runs conceded). They have yielded 165 long balls and they allow 4.10 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.217 with a FIP of 3.94 as a squad for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.60 (1,306 strikeouts against 431 free passes). They come in at 4th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,065.

With 136 save situations, the Astros have amassed 79 holds and also 14 blown saves. Houston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 54 save opportunities and they have earned 40 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 145 times in high leverage situations and also on 106 occasions with runners on. Houston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 23.8% out of 147 inherited runners. They are ranked 2nd in the league with a save rate of 74.1%, and they have dispatched 437 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Houston Astros have turned 90 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in professional baseball). The Astros have recorded 1,098 assists, 58 errors and are sitting with 3,689 putouts for the year. Out of their 11,067 innings on the field, the Astros have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (10th in the majors).

Thus far in his career, Alexander has conceded 143 base hits while tallying 92 strikeouts in 125 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 71 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.523 and a FIP of 5.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.92 and he has gone up against 561 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Alexander (6-4 career win-loss mark) holds a 5.10 earned run average while conceding 10.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-128)

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