New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, 9/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Houston Astros

Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) Houston (+162)

The Houston Astros (76-63) will play the New York Yankees (77-61) at Daikin Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has New York at -196 and Houston is coming in at +162. The total is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Carlos Rodon and Cristian Javier.

New York is slugging .457 and have been called out on strikes 1,223 times, while being walked on 541 occasions. They have tallied 699 runs batted in as well as 1,173 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average is .250. The Yankees have hit 222 doubles as a team and have smacked 236 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 726 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .331. As a team, the New York Yankees are scoring 5.3 runs/g, which ranks them 1st in the league.

Get all of our Free MLB Picks

Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.57 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25. Yankees pitchers have relinquished 149 home runs in addition to 586 total runs (11th in MLB). New York has allowed 1,058 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 531 earned runs. The Yankees have a team ERA of 3.90 so far this season (14th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,235 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 480 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.00 as a squad on the year.

The Yankees relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 63.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 138 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 221 runners for the year with 26.2% of those runners ended up scoring. Yankees bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 146 times in addition to having 140 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have dispatched 455 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have earned 82 holds this season (11th in baseball). They have accumulated 35 saves on the season and have blown 20 of their 55 save opportunities.

The New York Mets have a total of 3,680 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,185 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which ranks 21st in pro baseball, and have a total of 94 double plays. The Yankees have turned 70.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,040 innings, which has them ranked 8th in baseball.

Rodon has taken the hill for 1,250 innings and is sitting with 1,383 punch outs so far in his career. Rodon (90-70 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.71 and he has faced 5,256 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.76 (523 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.228. He has given up 1,064 base hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 471 walks.

The Houston Astros are sitting with an on-base percentage of .318 and a team batting average of .252 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,098 occasions (24th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,184 hits. Houston has hit 153 home runs for the season to go along with 556 RBIs. The Astros have a SLG% of .400 and they earn 4.18 runs per outing (25th in the league). They have put up 210 doubles, while taking a walk 412 times as well as recording 581 runs.

The Astros have a WHIP of 1.219 in addition to having a FIP of 3.95 as a squad on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.60 (1,319 strikeouts vs 433 walks). They come in at 5th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,076. They have yielded 168 homers and they give up 4.12 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Houston pitching staff have allowed 567 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.85 (529 earned runs yielded).

Houston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 54 save chances and they have earned 40 saves. They sit at 2nd in MLB with a save percentage of 74.1%, and they have dispatched 440 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their relievers have come in 145 times in high leverage situations and also on 106 occasions with runners on. Houston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 23.8% out of their 147 inherited base runners. With 136 save situations, the Astros have 79 holds and also 14 blown saves.

In their 11,148 innings on the diamond, the Astros are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (10th in pro baseball). The Houston Astros have gotten 90 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in the majors). The Astros have accrued 1,102 assists, 58 errors and have 3,716 putouts over the course of the season.

During his pro baseball career, Javier has surrendered 374 hits and he has 580 punch outs in 517 frames. He has allowed a total of 206 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.135 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.72 and he has gone up against 2,127 hitters thus far in his career. Javier (34-19 career mark) has earned a 3.59 ERA while giving up 6.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-196)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here