New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 6/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Thursday, June 12, 2025

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-210) Kansas City (+172)

The Kansas City Royals (34-33) will compete against the New York Yankees (40-25) at Kauffman Stadium on Thursday. The line on this contest has the Yankees at -210 and the Royals are at +172. The betting total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Will Warren and Seth Lugo.

The Yankees have tallied 117 two-baggers as a team and have hit 107 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .468 and have been called out on strikes 573 times, while taking a walk on 265 occasions. As a team, the New York Yankees are putting up 5.5 runs per contest, which is 3rd in the league. They have accumulated 346 runs batted in and 578 hits for the year, and their team batting average sits at .261. They have notched a total of 359 runs and have an on-base percentage of .345.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.81 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.20. Yankees pitchers have allowed 67 home runs in addition to 256 runs (10th in the league). New York has yielded 473 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 240 earned runs. The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.76 for the season (13th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 612 batters. They have walked 218 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.68 as a unit this year.

The Yankees have dispatched 213 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 108 runners on the campaign and 24.1% of those players crossed the plate. They have earned 19 saves this season and have blown 7 out of their 26 chances to get a save. The Yankees relief pitchers have a save percentage of 73.1% and have come into the game in 67 save situations. The relievers have a total of 40 holds so far this year (15th in MLB). Yankees relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 67 times and also have had 61 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have turned 71.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 5,175 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 5th in the majors. The New York Mets have a tally of 1,725 putouts on the year, in addition to 543 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them ranked 11th in the majors, and have 37 double plays.

Warren has taken the mound for 79 innings and is sitting with 104 punch outs so far in his career. Warren (4-6 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 6.71 and he has faced 365 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 6.81 (60 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.564. He has surrendered 86 base knocks (9.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 38 free passes.

The Kansas City Royals have recorded an OBP of .305 and a batting average of .253 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 461 occasions (29th in baseball) and have totaled 571 base hits. Kansas City has recorded 45 long balls on the year as well as 225 RBIs. The Royals hold a team slugging percentage of .372 and they score 3.40 runs per contest (28th in the league). They have hit 110 two-baggers, while getting a free base 158 times as well as earning 228 runs.

The Kansas City pitching staff have surrendered 245 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.41 (226 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 66 dingers and they yield 3.70 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB). The Royals have a team WHIP of 1.211 with a FIP of 3.75 as a pitching staff for the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (547 strikeouts vs 194 free passes). They rank 13th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 528.

Kansas City has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 28 save opportunities and they have walked away with 22 saves. They rank 2nd in MLB with a save percentage of 78.6%, and they have dispatched 214 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 80 times in high leverage situations and also on 67 occasions with runners on base. Kansas City relievers have an inherited score rate of 30.1% out of 93 inherited base runners. Sitting with 65 save situations, the Royals have accrued 37 holds in addition to 6 blown saves.

In 5,370 innings played, the Royals have a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (11th in professional baseball). The Kansas City Royals have gotten 56 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (9th in professional baseball). The Royals have 607 assists, 30 errors and have notched a total of 1,790 putouts for the season.

Lugo (59-45 mark in his career) has a 3.38 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.66 and he has faced 3,747 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 343 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.154 and having a FIP of 3.3. In his career, Lugo has conceded 813 base knocks while he has earned 879 strikeouts in 912 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-210)

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