New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Monday, September 15, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-144) Minnesota (+120)

The New York Yankees (81-65) are traveling to Target Field on Monday where they will go up against the Minnesota Twins (64-82). The moneyline on this game has the Yankees at -144 while the Twins are coming in at +120. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Carlos Rodon and Simeon Woods Richardson.

As a team, the New York Yankees are putting up 5.2 runs per game, which has them at 1st in baseball. They have earned a total of 761 runs while holding a team OBP of .330. The Yankees have recorded 230 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 249 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 734 runs batted in as well as 1,231 base knocks so far this season, and their team batting average comes in at .249. New York owns a slugging percentage of .455 and have been rung up 1,302 times, while drawing a walk on 569 occasions.

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The Yankees have compiled a team earned run average of 4.01 for the year (16th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,295 batters. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 158 home runs in addition to 635 runs in total (16th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 510 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.03 as a team on the season. New York has allowed 1,136 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 578 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.54 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.27.

The Yankees have dispatched 480 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 237 base runners over the course of the season and 28.3% of them ended up scoring. They have recorded 38 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 21 of their 59 save opportunities. The Yankees relief pitchers have a save rate of 64.4% and stepped onto the hill in 148 save situations. The bullpen are sitting with 88 holds for the year (9th in baseball). Yankees relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 155 times and also have had 148 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have transformed 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,679 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 10th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have notched a total of 3,893 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,259 assists and 84 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .984 which is 23rd in pro baseball, and have accumulated 97 double plays.

Rodon (91-71 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.69 while he has faced 5,305 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,072 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 474 walks. His ERA is 3.75 (526 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.225. Rodon has thrown 1,262 innings and has 1,392 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Minnesota Twins have recorded an on-base percentage of .312 and a batting average of .239 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 1,217 occasions (16th in the league) and have accounted for 1,169 base hits. Minnesota has hit 173 home runs this season as well as 585 runs batted in. The Twins hold a team SLG% of .398 and they average 4.23 runs per game (23rd in baseball). They have 223 doubles, while walking 453 times as well as putting up 617 runs.

The Minnesota pitching staff have given up 702 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.60 (656 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 176 homers and they relinquish 4.92 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.330 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.14 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (1,221 strikeouts against 415 walks). They come in at 25th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,291.

With 139 save situations, the Twins have accumulated 87 holds and 23 blown saves. Minnesota has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 50 save opportunities and they have earned 27 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 162 times in high leverage situations and on 110 occasions with runners on base. Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 36.3% out of their 160 inherited base runners. They are ranked 27th in baseball holding a save rate of 54.0%, and they have dispatched 492 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Minnesota Twins have gotten 89 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball). The Twins have racked up 1,092 assists, 75 errors and are sitting with 3,849 putouts for the year. In 11,547 innings on the diamond, the Twins have a efficiency on defense of 68.2% (29th in pro baseball).

During his career, Woods Richardson has conceded 225 base knocks while he has totaled 209 K's in 237 frames. He has allowed 117 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.345 and having a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.22 and he has faced 1,022 hitters during his pro baseball career. Woods Richardson (11-10 career record) has earned a 4.44 earned run average and has given up 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+120)

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