New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+110) New York (-132)

The New York Mets (49-38) host the New York Yankees (48-38) at Citi Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has New York at +110 and New York is at -132. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Carlos Rodon and Frankie Montas.

New York owns a slugging percentage of .447 and have been rung up 764 times, while being walked on 347 occasions. They have tallied 421 RBI's and 741 hits so far this year, while their batting average is at .254. The Yankees have recorded 150 doubles as a squad and have knocked 130 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 440 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .337. As a squad, the New York Yankees are putting up 5.1 runs per game, which is 4th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.72 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.20. Yankees pitchers have relinquished 86 home runs and also 337 runs in total (7th in MLB). New York has conceded 625 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) as well as 310 earned runs. The Yankees are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.66 for the season (8th in baseball), and they have rung up 782 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 288 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.75 as a unit this season.

The Yankees have dispatched 278 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 143 runners for the year and 25.2% of those players earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 23 saves for the year and have missed out on 9 out of their 32 chances to save the game. The Yankees relievers have accumulated a save rate of 71.9% and have entered the game in 79 save situations. The bullpen have earned 46 holds on the campaign (20th in baseball). Yankees relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 91 times as well as having 84 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have turned 71.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,855 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 4th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have 2,285 putouts thus far, in addition to 728 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which ranks 14th in professional baseball, and they have turned 53 double plays.

Rodon has taken the mound for 1,192 frames and has 1,329 K's thus far in his career. Rodon (84-68 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.72 and he has faced 5,014 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.77 (500 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.228. He has surrendered 1,023 base hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 441 walks.

New York has hit 111 HRs this season as well as 368 runs batted in. They have hit 136 two-baggers, while walking 301 times and putting up 377 runs. The New York Mets have an OBP of .323 as well as a team batting average of .243 on the season. The Mets hold a slugging % of .414 and they have an average of 4.33 runs per game (15th in baseball). They have been rung up on 681 occasions (22nd in MLB) and have notched a total of 706 hits.

The New York pitching staff have allowed 339 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.50 (300 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 69 long balls and they surrender 3.95 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.308 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.69 as a team on the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (752 strikeouts vs 325 free passes). They have a ranking of 10th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 685.

New York has called on relievers to enter the game in 40 save chances and they have recorded 24 saves. They are currently ranked 19th in the league with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have sent 278 relievers to the hill so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 104 times in high leverage situations and also on 93 occasions with base runners. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.3% out of 143 inherited base runners. Sitting with 96 save situations, the Mets have 56 holds and 16 blown saves.

The New York Mets have turned 70 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in baseball). The Mets have 783 assists, 42 errors and have a tally of 2,316 putouts so far this year. Out of their 6,948 innings on the diamond, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (17th in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Montas has surrendered 721 base hits while totaling 770 strikeouts in 753 innings. Montas (44-47 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.11 earned run average and has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 344 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.312 and a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 2.88 and he has gone up against 3,220 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-132)

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