New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 6/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Monday, June 30, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-144) Toronto (+120)

Rogers Centre is the location where the Toronto Blue Jays (43-37) will compete against the New York Yankees (46-34) on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has the Yankees at -144 and the Blue Jays open at +120. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Marcus Stroman and Max Scherzer.

The Yankees have earned 141 doubles as a unit and have hit 121 baseballs out of the park. New York is slugging .450 and have struck out 717 times, while being walked on 313 occasions. As a team, the New York Yankees are knocking in 5.1 runs per game, which puts them at 4th in the league. They have accumulated 391 runs batted in as well as 694 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average is sitting at .255. They have notched a total of 407 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .336.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.87 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18. Yankees pitchers have conceded 77 home runs and 297 runs (4th in baseball). New York has surrendered 578 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and also 274 earned runs. The Yankees hold a team ERA of 3.47 this year (7th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 737 hitters. They have walked 257 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.60 as a unit this season.

The Yankees relievers have a save rate of 73.3% and stepped onto the hill in 74 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 132 base runners over the course of the season and 22.7% of them crossed home plate. Yankees pitchers have come into the game with runners on 85 times in addition to having 79 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have dispatched 257 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have notched 43 holds this season (20th in baseball). They have recorded 22 saves for the season and have missed out on 8 of 30 chances to get a save.

The New York Mets have a total of 2,132 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 675 assists and 35 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .988 which has them ranked 9th in MLB, and have accumulated 49 double plays. The Yankees have transformed 71.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,396 innings, ranking them 5th in baseball.

Stroman has thrown 1,467 frames and has totaled 1,211 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 3.77 (615 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.281. He has allowed 1,436 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 443 walks. Stroman (87-86 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.72 while he has faced 6,145 hitters in the major leagues.

Toronto has a total of 81 home runs this season to go along with 334 RBIs. They have put up 134 doubles, while getting a free base 259 times and racking up 350 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have tallied an OBP of .325 as well as a batting average of .256 this year. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging percentage of .398 and they have an average of 4.38 runs per game (14th in the league). They have struck out on 543 occasions (30th in the league) and are sitting with 691 base hits.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.244 in addition to having a FIP of 4.26 as a squad on the campaign. They come in at 10th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 631. The Toronto pitching staff have yielded 351 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.14 (328 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.00 (713 strikeouts vs 255 free passes). They have given up 107 long balls and they relinquish 4.44 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).

Toronto relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.7% out of their 111 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 73 times in high leverage situations and also on 80 occasions with runners on. With 78 save situations, the Blue Jays have compiled 41 holds and also 13 blown saves. They rank 15th in the league with a save rate of 63.9%, and they have sent 272 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. Toronto has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 36 save opportunities and they have tallied 23 saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 55 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (14th in pro baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 611 assists, 37 errors and have accounted for 2,138 putouts on the campaign. In their 6,414 innings on the field, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (8th in baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Scherzer has allowed 2,355 base knocks and he has 3,412 strikeouts in 2,886 frames. Scherzer (216-112 career win-loss record) has a 3.17 ERA while giving up 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 1,015 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.079 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.50 and he has gone up against 11,662 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-144)

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