New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/2/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Wednesday, July 2, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-152) Toronto (+126)

Rogers Centre is the site where the Toronto Blue Jays (46-38) will play the New York Yankees (48-36) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have New York at -152 while Toronto opens at +126. The total is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Will Warren and Jose Berrios.

As a unit, the New York Yankees are scoring 5.1 runs per contest, which has them at 4th in MLB. They are sitting with 426 runs and hold an OBP of .335. The Yankees have accrued 144 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 128 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accrued 408 runs batted in and 717 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average sits at .252. New York has a slugging rate of .447 and have struck out 752 times, while taking a walk on 335 occasions.

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The Yankees have a team ERA of 3.48 for the season (6th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 768 batters. Yankees pitchers have given up 80 long balls and 314 runs in total (3rd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 275 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.64 as a squad on the season. New York has surrendered 604 base hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and 288 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.79 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.18.

The Yankees have sent 271 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relievers have inherited 138 base runners for the year with 24.6% of them crossed home plate. They have earned 23 saves over the course of the season and have blown 9 of their 32 save opportunities. The Yankees relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 71.9% and have come into the game in 79 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 46 holds for the year (18th in MLB). Yankees pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 88 times as well as having 81 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have earned 2,237 putouts on the campaign, as well as 713 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them ranked 11th in the majors, and have accumulated 51 double plays. The Yankees have transformed 71.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,711 innings, which ranks them 3rd in professional baseball.

Warren has taken the ball for 102 frames and has accumulated 132 K's during his career. His earned run average is 5.72 (65 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.457. He has surrendered 104 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 45 free passes. Warren (5-7 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.63 while he has faced 458 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Toronto Blue Jays hold an on-base percentage of .327 and a team batting average of .257 on the season. They have struck out on 565 instances (30th in MLB) and have earned 729 base hits. Toronto has hit 83 home runs so far this season as well as 354 RBIs. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging % of .397 and they average 4.40 runs per outing (13th in MLB). They have put up 141 doubles, while taking a walk 277 times as well as putting up 370 runs.

The Toronto pitching staff have given up 373 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.20 (349 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 113 dingers and they concede 4.49 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.253 and have a FIP of 4.29 as a staff on the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (749 strikeouts against 268 walks). They are sitting at 11th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 668.

Toronto has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 38 save chances and they have come away with 25 saves. They are ranked 11th in the league with a save percentage of 65.8%, and they have sent 287 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 79 times in high leverage situations and also on 84 occasions with runners on. Toronto relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.5% of 118 inherited runners. Sitting with 85 save situations, the Blue Jays have 46 holds in addition to 13 blown saves.

Out of their 6,729 innings played, the Blue Jays hold a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (10th in baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 58 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 635 assists, 39 errors and have earned a total of 2,243 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his career, Berrios has conceded 1,400 base hits and he has 1,432 K's in 1,507 innings. Berrios (103-80 career record) has a 4.02 earned run average while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 673 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.230 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.15 and he has gone up against 6,324 opposing hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-152)

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